Aubagne vs Orleans — Ligue 3
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Aubagne and Orleans meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Aubagne have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Orleans have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Aubagne and 1.28 for Orleans. The models give Aubagne a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Orleans win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aubagne | Home | Away | Orleans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 64% | 40% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 33% | 36% | 0% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 36% | 60% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Aubagne | Home | Away | Orleans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 71% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aubagne | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS | 42% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aubagne | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aubagne have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Aubagne failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Orleans have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●89% of Orleans's goals have been scored away.
- ●89% of Orleans's points have been earned away.