Orleans vs Thionville Lusitanos — Ligue 3
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Orleans and Thionville Lusitanos meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Orleans have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Thionville Lusitanos have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for Orleans and 1.45 for Thionville Lusitanos. The models give Orleans a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Thionville Lusitanos win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Orleans | Home | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 40% | 78% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 0% | 56% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 60% | 22% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Orleans | Home | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 60% | 78% | 69% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 40% | 33% | 46% | 83% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 40% | 22% | 31% | 0% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orleans | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS | 43% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 31% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orleans | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 7% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Orleans have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Orleans have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●89% of Orleans's goals have been scored away.
- ●89% of Orleans's points have been earned away.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Thionville Lusitanos's points have been earned away.