La Roche VF vs Concarneau — Ligue 3
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La Roche VF and Concarneau meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 21 November 2026. La Roche VF have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Concarneau have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for La Roche VF and 1.15 for Concarneau. The models give La Roche VF a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Concarneau win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
La Roche VF—
Concarneau1º
Position
5º
2.10
PPG
1.70
60%
Win %
40%
1.60
Goals / game
1.30
1.00
Conceded / game
0.90
75%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
La Roche VF
Home (5)
—
Concarneau
Away (4)
2.20
PPG
1.50
60%
Win %
25%
2.20
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
0.75
100%
BTTS %
71%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
60%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| La Roche | Home | Away | Concarneau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 60% | 29% | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| La Roche | Home | Away | Concarneau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 57% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 29% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 0% | 43% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Roche | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS | 75% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Roche | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
La Roche (H)W
Aubagne3–1
Aubagne3–1W
Valenciennes3–2
Valenciennes3–2D
Quevilly1–1
Quevilly1–1D
Cannes1–1
Cannes1–1W
Versailles3–2
Versailles3–2W
Chauray4–1
Chauray4–1Concarneau (A)D
Bourg-en-bresse 011–1
Bourg-en-bresse 011–1WAubagne2–1
Aubagne2–1DValenciennes0–0
Valenciennes0–0DQuevilly1–1
Quevilly1–1W
Laval2–1
Laval2–1W
Guingamp1–0
Guingamp1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Versailles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 |
| 5 | Concarneau | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Amiens | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 8 | Cannes | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Orleans | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
La Roche- ●La Roche VF have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●La Roche VF have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●La Roche VF have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of La Roche VF's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of La Roche VF's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Concarneau- ●Concarneau have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Concarneau have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Concarneau have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Concarneau have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Concarneau have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Concarneau failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●69% of Concarneau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Concarneau's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
La RocheLACaen1–2
Caen1–2WHAubagne3–1
Aubagne3–1WAThionville Lusitanos2–1
Thionville Lusitanos2–1WHValenciennes3–2
Valenciennes3–2DAVillefranche0–0
Villefranche0–0DHQuevilly1–1
Quevilly1–1–HBourg-en-bresse 0131/10
Bourg-en-bresse 0131/10–AGobelins07/11
Gobelins07/11–HConcarneau21/11
Concarneau21/11ConcarneauDHBastia1–1
Bastia1–1WHGobelins2–1
Gobelins2–1DABourg-en-bresse 011–1
Bourg-en-bresse 011–1WHCaen2–0
Caen2–0WAAubagne2–1
Aubagne2–1DHThionville Lusitanos2–2
Thionville Lusitanos2–2–ARouen31/10
Rouen31/10–HFleury 9107/11
Fleury 9107/11–ALa Roche VF21/11
La Roche VF21/11Top Scorers
La RocheM. M. Samb5 ⚽
M. Samb5 ⚽
M. Ndiaye3 ⚽
A. Araujo2 ⚽
J. Beaulieu1 ⚽
D. Bangoura1 ⚽
ConcarneauS. Janno4 ⚽
L. Goujon2 ⚽
J. Halby2 ⚽
B. Etcheverria2 ⚽
L. Rosier1 ⚽
N. Cruce-Corcy1 ⚽
Cards Given
La RocheM. Ndiaye3 🟨
M. Rabuel3 🟨
M. Vrignon2 🟨
D. Bangoura2 🟨
E. Gassama2 🟨
T. Allemand2 🟨
ConcarneauD. Seba5 🟨
B. Macon5 🟨
J. Halby3 🟨
A. Sidibe2 🟨
C. Divialle2 🟨
S. Janno2 🟨