Rouen vs Bastia — Ligue 3
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Rouen and Bastia meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rouen have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 62% of games. Bastia have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.11 for Rouen and 0.79 for Bastia. The models give Rouen a 48% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Bastia win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Rouen—
Bastia2º
Position
13º
2.00
PPG
1.20
60%
Win %
30%
1.80
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
1.20
38%
BTTS %
50%
62%
Clean sheet %
25%
46%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Rouen
Home (5)
—
Bastia
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
1.40
Goals / game
0.80
0.20
Conceded / game
0.40
17%
BTTS %
43%
83%
Clean sheet %
43%
17%
Over 2.5 %
14%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Rouen | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 75% | 60% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 33% | 57% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Rouen | Home | Away | Bastia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 17% | 57% | 75% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 60% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 40% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 62% | 83% | 43% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rouen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rouen | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 8% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 83% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Rouen (H)W
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
Aubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0D
Valenciennes1–1
Valenciennes1–1W
Quevilly3–0
Quevilly3–0D
Cannes0–0
Cannes0–0W
Al Wakrah1–0
Al Wakrah1–0Bastia (A)D
Concarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1L
Gobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1WBourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0W
Caen1–0
Caen1–0WAubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0DAubagne1–1
Aubagne1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Rouen
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Bastia
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
22/07/23Bastia
Rouen
0–2Bastia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 4 | Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 |
| 5 | Concarneau | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Amiens | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 8 | Cannes | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Gobelins | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Bastia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Orleans | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rouen- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Rouen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rouen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rouen have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rouen have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rouen have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rouen have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●87% of Rouen's goals conceded were conceded away.
Bastia- ●Bastia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bastia have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bastia have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●83% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
- ●Bastia have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bastia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RouenLAGobelins1–3
Gobelins1–3WHBourg-en-bresse 012–0
Bourg-en-bresse 012–0LACaen2–3
Caen2–3WHAubagne1–0
Aubagne1–0WAThionville Lusitanos4–0
Thionville Lusitanos4–0DHValenciennes1–1
Valenciennes1–1–HConcarneau31/10
Concarneau31/10–HBastia07/11
Bastia07/11–AFleury 9121/11
Fleury 9121/11BastiaDAConcarneau1–1
Concarneau1–1DHOrleans1–1
Orleans1–1LAGobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1DHCannes1–1
Cannes1–1WABourg-en-bresse 011–0
Bourg-en-bresse 011–0LHAmiens0–3
Amiens0–3–HQuevilly31/10
Quevilly31/10–ARouen07/11
Rouen07/11–HVillefranche21/11
Villefranche21/11Top Scorers
RouenM. Tchokounte7 ⚽
S. Traore3 ⚽
B. Camara3 ⚽
C. Bassin2 ⚽
M. Borne1 ⚽
W. Pacius1 ⚽
BastiaC. Rodrigues4 ⚽
J. Sebas2 ⚽
A. Zaouai2 ⚽
R. Beliandjou1 ⚽
E. Garnier1 ⚽
C. Melieres1 ⚽
Cards Given
RouenZ. Lamgahez3 🟨
N. Sommer3 🟨
F. Mendy2 🟨
J. Gaspar2 🟨
C. Bassin2 🟨
A. Toure1 🟨
BastiaI. Monnier6 🟨
C. Melieres5 🟨
G. Akueson4 🟨
L. Belal3 🟨
N. Douce3 🟨
N. Zilliox3 🟨