Bavois vs Bellinzona — 1. Liga Promotion
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Bavois and Bellinzona meet in the 1. Liga Promotion 2026 season on 13 February 2027. Bavois have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Bellinzona have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Bavois and 1.00 for Bellinzona. The models give Bavois a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bellinzona win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Bavois—
Bellinzona18º
Position
17º
0.62
PPG
0.64
15%
Win %
14%
0.92
Goals / game
0.71
1.46
Conceded / game
1.86
38%
BTTS %
41%
29%
Clean sheet %
12%
52%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bavois
Home (5)
—
Bellinzona
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
0.29
20%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.29
1.00
Conceded / game
1.86
33%
BTTS %
44%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bavois | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 56% | 58% | 53% | 63% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 33% | 29% | 63% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 22% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 44% | 42% | 47% | 38% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Bavois | Home | Away | Bellinzona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 44% | 50% | 53% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 17% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bavois | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 12% |
| BTTS | 38% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bavois | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Bavois (H)L
Amical Saint-Prex0–2
Amical Saint-Prex0–2L
Luzern II0–1
Luzern II0–1W
Bulle3–0
Bulle3–0D
Brühl0–0
Brühl0–0L
Servette FC0–7
Servette FC0–7D
Zürich II2–2
Zürich II2–2Bellinzona (A)D
Lugano II1–1
Lugano II1–1L
YF Juventus0–2
YF Juventus0–2L
Grand-Saconnex0–3
Grand-Saconnex0–3L
Paradiso0–4
Paradiso0–4D
Cham1–1
Cham1–1L
FC Schaffhausen0–1
FC Schaffhausen0–1Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Bavois
29%
3
Draws
43%
2
Bellinzona
29%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
14%
Over 2.5
1/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
01/08/26Bavois
Bellinzona
0–2Bavois16/04/22Bellinzona
Bavois
0–1Bellinzona30/10/21Bavois
Bellinzona
2–0Bavois28/04/21Bellinzona
Bavois
0–0Bellinzona28/09/19Bavois
Bellinzona
0–0Bavois30/03/19Bellinzona
Bavois
3–2Bellinzona09/09/18Bavois
Bellinzona
1–1Bavois| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulle | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Biel-Bienne | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Cham | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 27 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 7 | Zürich II | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Breitenrain | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 9 | Brühl | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Basel II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | YF Juventus | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Amical Saint-Prex | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 |  Kreuzlingen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Young Boys II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Luzern II | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Bellinzona | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 | Bavois | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 8 |
Team Insights
Bavois- ●Bavois have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Bavois have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Bavois have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Bavois have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Bavois failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Bavois have lost 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●74% of Bavois's goals conceded were conceded away.
Bellinzona- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bellinzona failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bellinzona have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Bellinzona's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Bellinzona's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
BavoisLACham1–2
Cham1–2LABasel II1–3
Basel II1–3LHAmical Saint-Prex0–2
Amical Saint-Prex0–2LABreitenrain0–1
Breitenrain0–1LABiel-Bienne0–2
Biel-Bienne0–2LHLuzern II0–1
Luzern II0–1–HParadiso07/11
Paradiso07/11–HFC Schaffhausen11/11
FC Schaffhausen11/11–AKreuzlingen14/11
Kreuzlingen14/11BellinzonaLHBulle0–1
Bulle0–1DALugano II1–1
Lugano II1–1WHBrühl2–0
Brühl2–0LAYF Juventus0–2
YF Juventus0–2LHZürich II0–4
Zürich II0–4DHBreitenrain2–2
Breitenrain2–2–AYoung Boys II08/11
Young Boys II08/11–HLuzern II15/11
Luzern II15/11–ABiel-Bienne22/11
Biel-Bienne22/11Top Scorers
Bavois16 ⚽
I. Bega3 ⚽
A. Eleouet2 ⚽
E. Avdic1 ⚽
J. Aguilar1 ⚽
J. Hautier1 ⚽
BellinzonaY. Aymon3 ⚽
M. Shkodriqi2 ⚽
G. Kyeremateng2 ⚽
S. Ahmeti1 ⚽
T. Centinaro1 ⚽
P. Ceppelini1 ⚽
Cards Given
BavoisE. Avdic2 🟨
BellinzonaG. Zaic2 🟨