Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso — Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
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Navalcarnero and Atlético Paso meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Navalcarnero have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Atlético Paso have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Navalcarnero and 1.00 for Atlético Paso. The models give Navalcarnero a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atlético Paso win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Navalcarnero—
Atlético Paso8º
Position
17º
1.33
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
38%
17%
Clean sheet %
38%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Navalcarnero
Home (1)
—
Atlético Paso
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
100%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Navalcarnero | Home | Away | Atlético Paso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 88% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 75% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 38% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 13% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Navalcarnero | Home | Away | Atlético Paso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 75% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Navalcarnero | Atlético Paso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 75% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Navalcarnero | Atlético Paso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Navalcarnero (H)D
A Madrid III1–1
A Madrid III1–1W
Real Murcia3–1
Real Murcia3–1L
Conquense1–3
Conquense1–3W
Real Ávila2–1
Real Ávila2–1W
Fuenlabrada3–1
Fuenlabrada3–1WConquense2–0
Conquense2–0Atlético Paso (A)DConquense2–2
Conquense2–2L
CF Talavera1–2
CF Talavera1–2D
Albacete II2–2
Albacete II2–2D
Calvo Sotelo0–0
Calvo Sotelo0–0D
Herbania1–1
Herbania1–1D
Panadería Pulido1–1
Panadería Pulido1–1Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Navalcarnero
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Atlético Paso
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
30/03/25Atlético Paso
Navalcarnero
1–0Atlético Paso17/11/24Navalcarnero
Atlético Paso
1–1Navalcarnero11/02/24Atlético Paso
Navalcarnero
1–1Atlético Paso01/10/23Navalcarnero
Atlético Paso
0–0Navalcarnero14/05/23Atlético Paso
Navalcarnero
2–0Atlético Paso15/01/23Navalcarnero
Atlético Paso
2–1Navalcarnero| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SS Reyes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 | Conquense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | A Madrid III | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Real Valladolid II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 |  Numancia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Salamanca UDS | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Navalcarnero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Atlético Paso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 |  Guadalajara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  RSD Alcalá | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Ávila | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Albacete II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Real Madrid III | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Calvo Sotelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 |  Getafe II | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Atlético Astorga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Calamocha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Navalcarnero- ●Navalcarnero have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Navalcarnero failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Navalcarnero's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Navalcarnero's points have been earned away.
Atlético Paso- ●Atlético Paso have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético Paso have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atlético Paso have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atlético Paso have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Atlético Paso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
NavalcarneroWANumancia3–2
Numancia3–2DASalamanca UDS1–1
Salamanca UDS1–1DHA Madrid III1–1
A Madrid III1–1WARSD Alcalá3–1
RSD Alcalá3–1LHConquense1–3
Conquense1–3DAAtlético Tordesillas2–2
Atlético Tordesillas2–2–HAtlético Paso01/11
Atlético Paso01/11–AGuadalajara08/11
Guadalajara08/11–HGetafe II15/11
Getafe II15/11Atlético PasoWHReal Ávila3–0
Real Ávila3–0DAConquense2–2
Conquense2–2LACF Talavera1–2
CF Talavera1–2WHReal Madrid III1–0
Real Madrid III1–0DAAlbacete II2–2
Albacete II2–2LHA Madrid III0–1
A Madrid III0–1–ANavalcarnero01/11
Navalcarnero01/11–HRSD Alcalá08/11
RSD Alcalá08/11–AAtlético Tordesillas15/11
Atlético Tordesillas15/11Top Scorers
NavalcarneroAlvarito6 ⚽
P. Agustin4 ⚽
Peque3 ⚽
A. Ortiz2 ⚽
D. Corceovei2 ⚽
K. Vazquez2 ⚽
Atlético PasoC. Leon1 ⚽
F. Rivera1 ⚽
G. Roque1 ⚽
I. Villoslada1 ⚽