Lorca Deportiva vs Poblense — Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
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Lorca Deportiva and Poblense meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Lorca Deportiva have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Poblense have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Lorca Deportiva and 0.94 for Poblense. The models give Lorca Deportiva a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Poblense win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Lorca DeportivaPoblenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lorca Deportiva | Home | Away | Poblense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lorca Deportiva | Home | Away | Poblense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lorca Deportiva | Poblense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lorca Deportiva | Poblense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Lorca Deportiva (H)
Atlético Baleares2–2
Castellonense1–0
Intercity0–0
Elche II1–1
Yeclano2–2
Xerez0–1Poblense (A)Yeclano2–2Atlético Baleares1–2
Alcoyano0–2
La Nucía0–1
Águilas0–0
Numancia1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ucam Murcia | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 | Castellonense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 |  Deportiva Minera | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Castellón II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | La Nucía | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  Orihuela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Intercity | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Elche II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Poblense | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Mallorca II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Valencia II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Peña Deportiva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Real Murcia II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Lorca Deportiva- ●Lorca Deportiva have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
Poblense- ●Poblense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Poblense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Poblense's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Poblense's points have been earned at home.
- ●Poblense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lorca DeportivaAtlético Baleares2–2La Nucía3–1Castellón II1–2Castellonense1–0Intercity0–0Orihuela0–1Poblense01/11Valencia II08/11Mallorca II15/11PoblenseYeclano2–2Castellón II2–1Atlético Baleares1–2Valencia II1–0Alcoyano0–2Castellonense1–2Peña Deportiva25/10Lorca Deportiva01/11Cieza08/11Top Scorers
Lorca DeportivaPoblenseCards Given
Lorca DeportivaPoblense