Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 11

Atlético Astorga

16º · 0.78 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 5h

–

Arosa

13º · 0.89 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 5h

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Atlético Astorga and Arosa meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Atlético Astorga have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Arosa have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Atlético Astorga and 1.16 for Arosa. The models give Atlético Astorga a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Arosa win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Atlético Astorga

—

Arosa

16º

Position

13º

0.78

PPG

0.89

22%

Win %

11%

1.22

Goals / game

1.67

1.56

Conceded / game

2.22

43%

BTTS %

64%

14%

Clean sheet %

18%

43%

Over 2.5 %

73%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Atlético Astorga

Home (5)

—

Arosa

Away (5)

1.40

PPG

0.80

40%

Win %

1.60

Goals / game

1.40

0.60

Conceded / game

1.60

44%

BTTS %

60%

22%

Clean sheet %

20%

44%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Atlético Astorga	Home	Away	Arosa	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	57%	67%	40%	73%	83%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	36%	44%	20%	73%	83%	60%
Over 2.5 Scored	14%	22%	0%	27%	33%	20%
Failed To Score	43%	33%	60%	27%	17%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Atlético Astorga	Home	Away	Arosa	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	86%	78%	100%	82%	83%	80%
Over 1.5 Conceded	43%	11%	100%	55%	50%	60%
Over 2.5 Conceded	14%	0%	40%	27%	33%	20%
Clean Sheets	14%	22%	0%	18%	17%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atlético Astorga	Arosa
Over 0.5	100%	91%
Over 1.5	79%	82%
Over 2.5	43%	73%
Over 3.5	29%	73%
Over 4.5	14%	27%
BTTS	43%	64%
BTTS & Win	7%	18%
BTTS & Draw	21%	36%
BTTS & Over 2.5	29%	64%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atlético Astorga	Arosa
Win 1st Half	14%	18%
Draw 1st Half	43%	36%
Loss 1st Half	43%	45%
Scored 1st Half	36%	36%
Conceded 1st Half	64%	55%
Win 2nd Half	21%	45%
Draw 2nd Half	36%	36%
Loss 2nd Half	43%	18%
Scored 2nd Half	36%	73%
Conceded 2nd Half	57%	73%
Over 0.5 HT	79%	73%
Over 1.5 HT	43%	36%

Recent Venue Form

Atlético Astorga (H)

Gernika1–1

Ourense CF4–0

Amorebieta0–1

Marino de Luanco3–0

Portugalete0–1

Palencia CF0–1

Arosa (A)

Portugalete3–3

Sestao River0–1

Ourense CF0–0

Basconia2–2

Amorebieta2–2

Cambados2–0

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	Deportivo Alavés II	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Bergantiños	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Eibar II	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Amorebieta	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Compostela	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Ourense CF	9	4	2	3	0	14
8	Real Oviedo II	9	4	2	3	-3	14
9	Portugalete	9	3	4	2	0	13
10	Gernika	9	2	5	2	+6	11
11	Basconia	9	2	5	2	-1	11
12	Coruxo	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Arosa	9	1	5	3	-5	8
14	Racing Santander II	9	2	2	5	-5	8
15	Marino de Luanco	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Atlético Astorga	9	2	1	6	-3	7
17	Llanera	9	2	1	6	-9	7
17	Arenteiro	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Team Insights

Atlético Astorga

●Atlético Astorga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Atlético Astorga have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Atlético Astorga have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●73% of Atlético Astorga's goals have been scored at home.
●79% of Atlético Astorga's goals conceded were conceded away.
●100% of Atlético Astorga's points have been earned at home.

Arosa