Portugalete vs Arosa — Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
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Portugalete and Arosa meet in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Portugalete have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Arosa have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Portugalete and 1.13 for Arosa. The models give Portugalete a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Arosa win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Portugalete | Home | Away | Arosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 40% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 67% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 60% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Portugalete | Home | Away | Arosa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 67% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 33% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Portugalete | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Portugalete | Arosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 88% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
—
- ●67% of Arosa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Arosa's goals conceded were conceded at home.