Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Nesebar — Second League
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Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Nesebar meet in the Second League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Etar Veliko Tarnovo have recorded 9 wins from 24 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Nesebar have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 1.07 for Nesebar. The models give Etar Veliko Tarnovo a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nesebar win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Etar Veliko Tarnovo—
Nesebar13º
Position
11º
1.42
PPG
1.38
42%
Win %
38%
1.67
Goals / game
1.62
1.75
Conceded / game
1.46
71%
BTTS %
59%
17%
Clean sheet %
24%
79%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Home (7)
—
Nesebar
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.67
57%
Win %
17%
1.57
Goals / game
0.67
1.14
Conceded / game
1.50
58%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Etar Veliko | Home | Away | Nesebar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 83% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 58% | 42% | 29% | 50% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 8% | 33% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Etar Veliko | Home | Away | Nesebar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 76% | 63% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 42% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Etar Veliko | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 18% |
| BTTS | 71% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Etar Veliko | Nesebar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Etar Veliko (H)L
Spartak Varna2–4
Spartak Varna2–4W
Fratria2–0
Fratria2–0L
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2–4
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2–4W
CSKA Sofia II1–0
CSKA Sofia II1–0D
Beroe2–2
Beroe2–2D
Rilski Sportist1–1
Rilski Sportist1–1Nesebar (A)L
Hebar 19181–2
Hebar 19181–2W
Rodopa Smolyan3–1
Rodopa Smolyan3–1L
Vihren0–2
Vihren0–2D
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1L
Marek0–1
Marek0–1W
Sportist Svoge1–0
Sportist Svoge1–0Head to Head · 7 matches
5
Etar Veliko
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
Nesebar
14%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
25/07/26Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
1–5Etar Veliko Tarnovo11/05/25Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
0–2Etar Veliko Tarnovo01/02/25Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
1–2Etar Veliko Tarnovo16/11/24Nesebar
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
3–0Nesebar29/06/24Nesebar
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–1Nesebar27/05/17Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
2–2Etar Veliko Tarnovo30/11/16Nesebar
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
6–0Nesebar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Vihren | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 | Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Beroe | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Hebar 1918 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 20 |
| 7 |  Yantra 2019 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 | Marek | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Nesebar | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Spartak Pleven | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 13 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 |  Ludogorets II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 | Sportist Svoge | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
Etar Veliko- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Etar Veliko Tarnovo's points have been earned at home.
- ●Etar Veliko Tarnovo have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Nesebar- ●Nesebar have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nesebar have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nesebar have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Nesebar have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●81% of Nesebar's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Nesebar's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Etar VelikoLASpartak Pleven1–2
Spartak Pleven1–2WHFratria2–0
Fratria2–0LHChernomorets 1919 Burgas2–4
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2–4LAHebar 19181–4
Hebar 19181–4WHCSKA Sofia II1–0
CSKA Sofia II1–0LAVihren1–4
Vihren1–4–APirin Blagoevgrad30/10
Pirin Blagoevgrad30/10–HMontana09/11
Montana09/11–ADobrudzha15/11
Dobrudzha15/11NesebarLAHebar 19181–2
Hebar 19181–2DHCSKA Sofia II0–0
CSKA Sofia II0–0LAVihren0–2
Vihren0–2WHBeroe4–3
Beroe4–3DALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–1WHRilski Sportist2–1
Rilski Sportist2–1–HChernomorets 1919 Burgas31/10
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas31/10–ALudogorets II08/11
Ludogorets II08/11–HFratria15/11
Fratria15/11Top Scorers
Etar VelikoT. Tsanev8 ⚽
K. Velichkov6 ⚽
N. Borisov3 ⚽
G. Ivanov3 ⚽
C. Ivaylov3 ⚽
G. Aleksandrov3 ⚽
NesebarS. Statev4 ⚽
I. Kolev4 ⚽
3 ⚽
K. Parashkevov3 ⚽
R. Ismailov2 ⚽
M. Simeonov2 ⚽
Cards Given
Etar Veliko7 🟨
I. Markov5 🟨
G. Aleksandrov3 🟨
C. Ivaylov3 🟨
S. Dobrev3 🟨
A. Pemperski2 🟨
Nesebar6 🟨
S. Statev3 🟨
S. Pergelov2 🟨
D. Lastardzhiev2 🟨
M. Zegai2 🟨
T. Petkov1 🟨