Nesebar vs Fratria — Second League
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Nesebar and Fratria meet in the Second League 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Nesebar have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Fratria have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Nesebar and 1.28 for Fratria. The models give Nesebar a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fratria win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nesebar | Home | Away | Fratria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 75% | 78% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 11% | 45% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Nesebar | Home | Away | Fratria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 63% | 89% | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 33% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 38% | 11% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nesebar | Fratria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nesebar | Fratria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 25 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 20 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 11 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -31 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Nesebar have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nesebar have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nesebar have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nesebar failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Nesebar have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●81% of Nesebar's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Nesebar's points have been earned at home.
- ●Fratria have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fratria have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fratria failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fratria have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fratria failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fratria have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Fratria's goals conceded were conceded away.