Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Racing Ferrol and Mérida AD meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Racing Ferrol have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 18%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Mérida AD have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Racing Ferrol and 1.06 for Mérida AD. The models give Racing Ferrol a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mérida AD win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Racing Ferrol | Home | Away | Mérida AD | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 40% | 58% | 83% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 0% | 60% | 42% | 17% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Racing Ferrol | Home | Away | Mérida AD | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 20% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Racing Ferrol | Mérida AD | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 18% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS | 36% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Racing Ferrol | Mérida AD | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Racing Ferrol have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Racing Ferrol failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Racing Ferrol's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Racing Ferrol's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mérida AD have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Mérida AD have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Mérida AD have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Mérida AD have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Mérida AD's goals conceded were conceded at home.