MatchPulse

UD Ourense vs Racing Ferrol — Primera División RFEF - Group 1

← Back
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
19º · 0.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 2h
vs
–
–
Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol
3º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 1h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

UD Ourense and Racing Ferrol meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. UD Ourense have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Racing Ferrol have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 18%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for UD Ourense and 0.89 for Racing Ferrol. The models give UD Ourense a 37% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Racing Ferrol win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

UD Ourense
—
Racing Ferrol
19º
Position
3º
0.56
PPG
1.78
11%
Win %
56%
0.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
0.78
22%
BTTS %
36%
22%
Clean sheet %
36%
33%
Over 2.5 %
18%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UD Ourense
Home (4)
—
Racing Ferrol
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
0.25
Goals / game
0.40
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
0%
BTTS %
20%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UD OurenseHomeAwayRacing FerrolHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored33%25%40%73%100%40%
Over 1.5 Scored0%0%0%27%50%0%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%9%17%0%
Failed To Score67%75%60%27%0%60%

Goals Conceded

UD OurenseHomeAwayRacing FerrolHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%50%100%64%50%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%25%80%27%33%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%25%40%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets22%50%0%36%50%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UD OurenseRacing Ferrol
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.567%55%
Over 2.533%18%
Over 3.511%18%
Over 4.50%9%
BTTS22%36%
BTTS & Win0%9%
BTTS & Draw11%27%
BTTS & Over 2.511%18%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UD OurenseRacing Ferrol
Win 1st Half0%45%
Draw 1st Half33%36%
Loss 1st Half67%18%
Scored 1st Half0%55%
Conceded 1st Half67%36%
Win 2nd Half22%27%
Draw 2nd Half22%36%
Loss 2nd Half56%36%
Scored 2nd Half33%27%
Conceded 2nd Half56%45%
Over 0.5 HT67%73%
Over 1.5 HT11%18%

Recent Venue Form

UD Ourense (H)
WBarakaldo1–0
DCacereño0–0
LUD Logroñés0–3
LPonferradina0–1
WConquense1–0
WReddis2–1
Racing Ferrol (A)
LMirandes0–2
WDeportivo La Coruña II1–0
LLugo0–1
LExtremadura 19240–1
DArenas Getxo1–1
LUnionistas de Salamanca2–3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lugo9711+822
2UD Logroñés9621+820
3Racing Ferrol9513+216
4Cacereño9432+315
5Mirandes9423+214
6Pontevedra9423+114
7Extremadura 19249414+613
8Real Unión9342+513
9Ponferradina9342013
10Mérida AD8404+312
11Athletic Club II9333+212
12Zamora9333+112
13Cultural Leonesa9333+112
14Real Avilés9324+211
15Barakaldo9243-210
16Unionistas de Salamanca9315-310
17CD Coria8224-48
18Deportivo La Coruña II9225-88
19UD Ourense9126-125
20Arenas Getxo9126-155

Team Insights

UD Ourense
  • ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●UD Ourense have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of UD Ourense's goals conceded were conceded away.
Racing Ferrol
  • ●Racing Ferrol have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Racing Ferrol have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Racing Ferrol have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Racing Ferrol failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●78% of Racing Ferrol's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Racing Ferrol's points have been earned at home.
LAArenas Getxo20º0–2
LAReal Avilés14º0–3
WHBarakaldo15º1–0
DAReal Unión8º1–1
DHCacereño4º0–0
LHUD Logroñés2º0–3
LAMirandes5º0–2
LHPonferradina9º0–1
WAConquense2–0
LAMirandes5º0–2
WHPontevedra6º2–0
LALugo1º0–1
WHBarakaldo15º1–0
WHReal Unión8º3–2
DAArenas Getxo20º1–1

Season Schedule

UD Ourense
LAArenas Getxo0–2
LAReal Avilés0–3
WHBarakaldo1–0
DAReal Unión1–1
DHCacereño0–0
LAUnionistas de Salamanca1–3
–HCultural Leonesa01/11
–APontevedra07/11
–HMérida AD14/11
Racing Ferrol
LAMirandes0–2
WHUnionistas de Salamanca1–0
WADeportivo La Coruña II1–0
WHPontevedra2–0
LALugo0–1
WHBarakaldo1–0
–HPonferradina31/10
–HUD Logroñés07/11
–AAthletic Club II14/11

Top Scorers

UD Ourense
R. Sanchez1 ⚽
S. Baldrich1 ⚽
X. Dominguez1 ⚽
Racing Ferrol
R. Arroyo3 ⚽
Miguel2 ⚽
D. Ojeda1 ⚽
U. Ropero1 ⚽
V. Esquerdo1 ⚽
R. Alcaina1 ⚽

Cards Given

UD Ourense
J. Labrada4 🟨
D. Ferreiro3 🟨
D. Tejon3 🟨
Rivelott Curro3 🟨
J. Cabrera3 🟨
S. Pardo3 🟨
Racing Ferrol
E. Monjonell4 🟨
D. Ojeda3 🟨
A. Ramon3 🟨
F. Gonzalez3 🟨
E. Eto'o2 🟨
D. Castro1 🟨