Pontevedra vs Lugo — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Pontevedra and Lugo meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Pontevedra have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Lugo have won 69% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Pontevedra and 1.31 for Lugo. The models give Pontevedra a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lugo win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
PontevedraLugoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pontevedra | Home | Away | Lugo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 86% | 85% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 14% | 14% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pontevedra | Home | Away | Lugo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 86% | 71% | 62% | 43% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 14% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 14% | 29% | 38% | 57% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pontevedra | Lugo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS | 71% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pontevedra | Lugo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Pontevedra (H)
Cacereño1–0
Mérida AD1–2
Ponferradina1–1
Athletic Club II1–3
Arenas Getxo4–1
Ourense CF2–1Lugo (A)
Real Unión1–4
Real Avilés2–1
Zamora2–1Ponferradina0–0
Unionistas de Salamanca3–1
Deportivo La Coruna0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
LugoPontevedraLugo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Pontevedra- ●Pontevedra have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pontevedra have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pontevedra failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Pontevedra's goals have been scored at home.
Lugo- ●Lugo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lugo have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lugo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lugo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lugo have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●87% of Lugo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PontevedraCultural Leonesa2–1Cacereño1–0Mérida AD1–2Racing Ferrol0–2Ponferradina1–1UD Logroñés1–1Barakaldo01/11UD Ourense07/11Extremadura 192415/11LugoReal Unión1–4Deportivo La Coruña II3–0UD Logroñés3–1Real Avilés2–1Racing Ferrol1–0Zamora2–1Mérida AD01/11Cacereño06/11Mirandes15/11Top Scorers
PontevedraLugoCards Given
PontevedraLugo