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Mérida AD vs Real Unión — Primera División RFEF - Group 1

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Mérida AD
Mérida AD
10º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 6h
vs
–
–
Real Unión
Real Unión
8º · 1.44 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 23h
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Mérida AD and Real Unión meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Mérida AD have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Real Unión have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Mérida AD and 1.57 for Real Unión. The models give Mérida AD a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Real Unión win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Mérida AD
—
Real Unión
10º
Position
8º
1.50
PPG
1.44
50%
Win %
33%
1.88
Goals / game
2.11
1.50
Conceded / game
1.56
33%
BTTS %
82%
25%
Clean sheet %
9%
58%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Mérida AD
Home (4)
—
Real Unión
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
20%
2.25
Goals / game
1.60
2.25
Conceded / game
1.80
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Mérida ADHomeAwayReal UniónHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored58%83%33%82%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored50%67%33%64%60%67%
Over 2.5 Scored25%33%17%27%40%17%
Failed To Score42%17%67%18%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Mérida ADHomeAwayReal UniónHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%67%83%91%100%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded42%50%33%45%20%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%33%33%9%0%17%
Clean Sheets25%33%17%9%0%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Mérida ADReal Unión
Over 0.5100%91%
Over 1.575%91%
Over 2.558%64%
Over 3.533%55%
Over 4.517%36%
BTTS33%82%
BTTS & Win17%36%
BTTS & Draw0%36%
BTTS & Over 2.533%64%
BTTS No & Over 2.525%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Mérida ADReal Unión
Win 1st Half25%45%
Draw 1st Half33%55%
Loss 1st Half42%0%
Scored 1st Half42%64%
Conceded 1st Half50%18%
Win 2nd Half25%27%
Draw 2nd Half25%36%
Loss 2nd Half50%36%
Scored 2nd Half50%55%
Conceded 2nd Half58%82%
Over 0.5 HT75%64%
Over 1.5 HT50%27%

Recent Venue Form

Mérida AD (H)
WCacereño2–0
LUD Logroñés3–5
LMirandes3–4
WDeportivo La Coruña II1–0
WAlcorcon2–1
LAl-Nassr0–2
Real Unión (A)
DExtremadura 19242–2
DAthletic Club II0–0
LDeportivo La Coruña II0–2
LRacing Ferrol2–3
WUnionistas de Salamanca4–2
WPAU2–1
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lugo9711+822
2UD Logroñés9621+820
3Racing Ferrol9513+216
4Cacereño9432+315
5Mirandes9423+214
6Pontevedra9423+114
7Extremadura 19249414+613
8Real Unión9342+513
9Ponferradina9342013
10Mérida AD8404+312
11Athletic Club II9333+212
12Zamora9333+112
13Cultural Leonesa9333+112
14Real Avilés9324+211
15Barakaldo9243-210
16Unionistas de Salamanca9315-310
17CD Coria8224-48
18Deportivo La Coruña II9225-88
19UD Ourense9126-125
20Arenas Getxo9126-155

Team Insights

Mérida AD
  • ●Mérida AD have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●75% of Mérida AD's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Real Unión
  • ●Real Unión have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Real Unión have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Real Unión have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Real Unión failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
WAArenas Getxo20º4–0
WAPontevedra6º2–1
WHCacereño4º2–0
LHUD Logroñés2º3–5
LAPonferradina9º0–1
LHMirandes5º3–4
LACultural Leonesa13º0–1
WHAlcorcon2–1
LALeganes0–3
WHLugo1º4–1
DAAthletic Club II11º0–0
DHUD Ourense19º1–1
DHMirandes5º2–2
LARacing Ferrol3º2–3
WHCD Coria17º4–1
DHEibar1–1

Season Schedule

Mérida AD
WAArenas Getxo4–0
WAPontevedra2–1
WHCacereño2–0
LHUD Logroñés3–5
LAPonferradina0–1
LHMirandes3–4
–HCD Coria25/10
–ALugo01/11
–HAthletic Club II08/11
Real Unión
WHLugo4–1
DAExtremadura 19242–2
DAAthletic Club II0–0
DHUD Ourense1–1
LADeportivo La Coruña II0–2
DHMirandes2–2
–HReal Avilés31/10
–ABarakaldo07/11
–HCultural Leonesa14/11

Top Scorers

Mérida AD
S. El Ftouhi4 ⚽
Kone3 ⚽
S. Hallsson2 ⚽
C. Doncel2 ⚽
J. Lopez1 ⚽
H. Carrillo1 ⚽
Real Unión
A. Galarza5 ⚽
E. Azkune3 ⚽
J. Pola2 ⚽
L. Sangalli2 ⚽
A. Martin2 ⚽
U. Garcia2 ⚽

Cards Given

Mérida AD
G. Almeida4 🟨
H. Carrillo3 🟨
J. Areso3 🟨
Gonzalez Nacho3 🟨
M. Solar2 🟨
R. Beneit2 🟨
Real Unión
E. Azkune4 🟨
A. Mateo3 🟨
A. Galarza2 🟨
A. Martin2 🟨
J. Fontan2 🟨
J. de la Mata2 🟨