Zamora vs Real Avilés — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Estadio Ruta de la Plata·Zamora·Spain·7,818
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Zamora and Real Avilés meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Zamora have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Real Avilés have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Zamora and 1.29 for Real Avilés. The models give Zamora a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Avilés win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Zamora—
Real Avilés12º
Position
14º
1.33
PPG
1.22
33%
Win %
33%
1.11
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.44
60%
BTTS %
65%
30%
Clean sheet %
24%
30%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Zamora
Home (5)
—
Real Avilés
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.25
20%
Win %
25%
1.20
Goals / game
1.75
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
80%
BTTS %
64%
20%
Clean sheet %
27%
40%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Zamora | Home | Away | Real Avilés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 82% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 35% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 50% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Zamora | Home | Away | Real Avilés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 76% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 40% | 0% | 35% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 24% | 17% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zamora | Real Avilés | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 12% |
| BTTS | 60% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zamora | Real Avilés | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Zamora (H)D
Ponferradina1–1
Ponferradina1–1W
CD Coria2–0
CD Coria2–0L
Lugo1–2
Lugo1–2L
UD Logroñés1–2
UD Logroñés1–2D
Athletic Club II1–1
Athletic Club II1–1W
Sabadell1–0
Sabadell1–0Real Avilés (A)WPonferradina2–0
Ponferradina2–0D
Barakaldo3–3
Barakaldo3–3DCD Coria1–1
CD Coria1–1LAthletic Club II1–2
Athletic Club II1–2W
Mosconia2–0
Mosconia2–0D
Racing Ferrol1–1
Racing Ferrol1–1Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Zamora
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Real Avilés
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
08/03/26Zamora
Real Avilés
0–2Zamora12/10/25Real Avilés
Zamora
2–3Real Avilés24/03/24Zamora
Real Avilés
0–1Zamora12/11/23Real Avilés
Zamora
1–0Real Avilés07/05/23Zamora
Real Avilés
2–1Zamora08/01/23Real Avilés
Zamora
1–1Real Avilés| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Zamora- ●Zamora have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Zamora have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Zamora failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Zamora's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Zamora have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Real Avilés- ●Real Avilés have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Real Avilés have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Avilés have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real Avilés have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Avilés failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
ZamoraLACacereño0–1
Cacereño0–1DHPonferradina1–1
Ponferradina1–1DAMirandes1–1
Mirandes1–1WHCD Coria2–0
CD Coria2–0WAExtremadura 19241–0
Extremadura 19241–0LHLugo1–2
Lugo1–2–HDeportivo La Coruña II01/11
Deportivo La Coruña II01/11–AUnionistas de Salamanca07/11
Unionistas de Salamanca07/11–HReal Avilés15/11
Real Avilés15/11Real AvilésLHUD Logroñés1–3
UD Logroñés1–3WHUD Ourense3–0
UD Ourense3–0WAPonferradina2–0
Ponferradina2–0LHLugo1–2
Lugo1–2DABarakaldo3–3
Barakaldo3–3DACD Coria1–1
CD Coria1–1–AReal Unión31/10
Real Unión31/10–HExtremadura 192406/11
Extremadura 192406/11–AZamora15/11
Zamora15/11Top Scorers
ZamoraJ. Carbonell3 ⚽
C. Ramos2 ⚽
I. Yurrieta Incera2 ⚽
I. Indias1 ⚽
M. Costa1 ⚽
Real AvilésA. Santamaria9 ⚽
N. Poquet5 ⚽
C. Montes3 ⚽
2 ⚽
B. Cayarga2 ⚽
J. Mahicas1 ⚽
Cards Given
ZamoraI. Navarro4 🟨
C. Ramos3 🟨
Juanje3 🟨
A. Hidalgo2 🟨
E. Verges2 🟨
A. Gorjon2 🟨
Real AvilésS. Mayo3 🟨
M. Artetxe3 🟨
C. Montes2 🟨
Neskes2 🟨
I. Alday1 🟨
J. Sillero1 🟨