MatchPulse

UD Ourense vs Mérida AD — Primera División RFEF - Group 1

← Back
Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 12
UD Ourense
UD Ourense
19º · 0.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
10º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 5h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

UD Ourense and Mérida AD meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 14 November 2026. UD Ourense have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Mérida AD have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for UD Ourense and 1.15 for Mérida AD. The models give UD Ourense a 33% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Mérida AD win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.

Season Statistics

UD Ourense
—
Mérida AD
19º
Position
10º
0.56
PPG
1.50
11%
Win %
50%
0.33
Goals / game
1.88
1.67
Conceded / game
1.50
22%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UD Ourense
Home (4)
—
Mérida AD
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
50%
0.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
0%
BTTS %
17%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
25%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UD OurenseHomeAwayMérida ADHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored33%25%40%58%83%33%
Over 1.5 Scored0%0%0%50%67%33%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%25%33%17%
Failed To Score67%75%60%42%17%67%

Goals Conceded

UD OurenseHomeAwayMérida ADHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%50%100%75%67%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%25%80%42%50%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%25%40%33%33%33%
Clean Sheets22%50%0%25%33%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UD OurenseMérida AD
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.567%75%
Over 2.533%58%
Over 3.511%33%
Over 4.50%17%
BTTS22%33%
BTTS & Win0%17%
BTTS & Draw11%0%
BTTS & Over 2.511%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UD OurenseMérida AD
Win 1st Half0%25%
Draw 1st Half33%33%
Loss 1st Half67%42%
Scored 1st Half0%42%
Conceded 1st Half67%50%
Win 2nd Half22%25%
Draw 2nd Half22%25%
Loss 2nd Half56%50%
Scored 2nd Half33%50%
Conceded 2nd Half56%58%
Over 0.5 HT67%75%
Over 1.5 HT11%50%

Recent Venue Form

UD Ourense (H)
WBarakaldo1–0
DCacereño0–0
LUD Logroñés0–3
LPonferradina0–1
WConquense1–0
WReddis2–1
Mérida AD (A)
WArenas Getxo4–0
WPontevedra2–1
LPonferradina0–1
LCultural Leonesa0–1
LLeganes0–3
LBenfica B0–4
Primera División RFEF - Group 1
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lugo9711+822
2UD Logroñés9621+820
3Racing Ferrol9513+216
4Cacereño9432+315
5Mirandes9423+214
6Pontevedra9423+114
7Extremadura 19249414+613
8Real Unión9342+513
9Ponferradina9342013
10Mérida AD8404+312
11Athletic Club II9333+212
12Zamora9333+112
13Cultural Leonesa9333+112
14Real Avilés9324+211
15Barakaldo9243-210
16Unionistas de Salamanca9315-310
17CD Coria8224-48
18Deportivo La Coruña II9225-88
19UD Ourense9126-125
20Arenas Getxo9126-155

Team Insights

UD Ourense
  • ●UD Ourense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●UD Ourense have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●UD Ourense have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of UD Ourense's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mérida AD
  • ●Mérida AD have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Mérida AD have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●75% of Mérida AD's goals conceded were conceded at home.
UD OurenseUD Ourense
LAArenas Getxo20º0–2
LAReal Avilés14º0–3
WHBarakaldo15º1–0
DAReal Unión8º1–1
DHCacereño4º0–0
LAUnionistas de Salamanca16º1–3
LHUD Logroñés2º0–3
LAMirandes5º0–2
LHPonferradina9º0–1
WAConquense2–0
Mérida ADMérida AD
WAArenas Getxo20º4–0
WAPontevedra6º2–1
WHCacereño4º2–0
LHUD Logroñés2º3–5
LAPonferradina9º0–1
LHMirandes5º3–4
LACultural Leonesa13º0–1
WHDeportivo La Coruña II18º1–0
WHAlcorcon2–1
LALeganes0–3

Season Schedule

UD Ourense
LAArenas Getxo0–2
LAReal Avilés0–3
WHBarakaldo1–0
DAReal Unión1–1
DHCacereño0–0
LAUnionistas de Salamanca1–3
–HCultural Leonesa01/11
–APontevedra07/11
–HMérida AD14/11
Mérida AD
WAArenas Getxo4–0
WAPontevedra2–1
WHCacereño2–0
LHUD Logroñés3–5
LAPonferradina0–1
LHMirandes3–4
–HCD Coria25/10
–ALugo01/11
–HAthletic Club II08/11

Top Scorers

UD Ourense
R. Sanchez1 ⚽
S. Baldrich1 ⚽
X. Dominguez1 ⚽
Mérida AD
S. El Ftouhi4 ⚽
Kone3 ⚽
S. Hallsson2 ⚽
C. Doncel2 ⚽
J. Lopez1 ⚽
H. Carrillo1 ⚽

Cards Given

UD Ourense
J. Labrada4 🟨
D. Ferreiro3 🟨
D. Tejon3 🟨
Rivelott Curro3 🟨
J. Cabrera3 🟨
S. Pardo3 🟨
Mérida AD
G. Almeida4 🟨
H. Carrillo3 🟨
J. Areso3 🟨
Gonzalez Nacho3 🟨
M. Solar2 🟨
R. Beneit2 🟨