Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 11

Cacereño

4º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h

–

Lugo

1º · 2.44 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h

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Cacereño and Lugo meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Cacereño have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Lugo have won 69% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Cacereño and 0.98 for Lugo. The models give Cacereño a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Lugo win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Cacereño

—

Lugo

4º

Position

1º

1.67

PPG

2.44

44%

Win %

78%

0.89

Goals / game

1.78

0.56

Conceded / game

0.89

33%

BTTS %

54%

47%

Clean sheet %

38%

20%

Over 2.5 %

54%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Cacereño

Home (5)

—

Lugo

Away (5)

2.60

PPG

2.00

80%

Win %

60%

1.40

Goals / game

1.60

0.20

Conceded / game

1.40

38%

BTTS %

67%

63%

Clean sheet %

17%

25%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Cacereño	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	73%	100%	43%	85%	100%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	27%	38%	14%	46%	43%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	7%	13%	0%	23%	29%	17%
Failed To Score	27%	0%	57%	15%	0%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Cacereño	Home	Away	Lugo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	53%	38%	71%	62%	43%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	13%	0%	29%	8%	0%	17%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	8%	0%	17%
Clean Sheets	47%	63%	29%	38%	57%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cacereño	Lugo
Over 0.5	93%	92%
Over 1.5	60%	62%
Over 2.5	20%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	23%
Over 4.5	0%	8%
BTTS	33%	54%
BTTS & Win	7%	38%
BTTS & Draw	20%	8%
BTTS & Over 2.5	13%	46%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cacereño	Lugo
Win 1st Half	27%	54%
Draw 1st Half	60%	15%
Loss 1st Half	13%	31%
Scored 1st Half	33%	54%
Conceded 1st Half	20%	38%
Win 2nd Half	40%	46%
Draw 2nd Half	40%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	20%	15%
Scored 2nd Half	53%	62%
Conceded 2nd Half	33%	31%
Over 0.5 HT	47%	85%
Over 1.5 HT	13%	15%

Recent Venue Form

Cacereño (H)

Zamora1–0

Unionistas de Salamanca1–1

Arenas Getxo3–0

Cultural Leonesa1–0

UD San Pedro2–0

Mirandes1–0

Lugo (A)

Real Unión1–4

Real Avilés2–1

Zamora2–1

Ponferradina0–0

Unionistas de Salamanca3–1

Deportivo La Coruna0–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

Cacereño

Draws

Lugo

100%

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

50%

Over 2.5

1/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

29/03/26

Cacereño

1–2

Lugo

04/10/25

Lugo

1–0

Cacereño

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	9	7	1	1	+8	22
2	UD Logroñés	9	6	2	1	+8	20
3	Racing Ferrol	9	5	1	3	+2	16
4	Cacereño	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Mirandes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Pontevedra	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Extremadura 1924	9	4	1	4	+6	13
8	Real Unión	9	3	4	2	+5	13
9	Ponferradina	9	3	4	2	0	13
10	Mérida AD	8	4	0	4	+3	12
11	Athletic Club II	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Zamora	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Cultural Leonesa	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Real Avilés	9	3	2	4	+2	11
15	Barakaldo	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Unionistas de Salamanca	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Deportivo La Coruña II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Arenas Getxo	9	1	2	6	-15	5