Barakaldo vs Real Unión — Primera División RFEF - Group 1
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Barakaldo and Real Unión meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Barakaldo have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Real Unión have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Barakaldo and 1.17 for Real Unión. The models give Barakaldo a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Real Unión win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Barakaldo—
Real Unión15º
Position
8º
1.11
PPG
1.44
22%
Win %
33%
0.89
Goals / game
2.11
1.11
Conceded / game
1.56
30%
BTTS %
82%
40%
Clean sheet %
9%
20%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barakaldo
Home (5)
—
Real Unión
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.60
0.80
Conceded / game
1.80
40%
BTTS %
67%
60%
Clean sheet %
17%
20%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barakaldo | Home | Away | Real Unión | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 82% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 27% | 40% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 20% | 80% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Barakaldo | Home | Away | Real Unión | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 40% | 80% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 45% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barakaldo | Real Unión | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS | 30% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barakaldo | Real Unión | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Barakaldo (H)W
Mirandes2–0
Mirandes2–0D
Arenas Getxo1–1
Arenas Getxo1–1D
Real Avilés3–3
Real Avilés3–3W
Extremadura 19241–0
Extremadura 19241–0D
Cultural Leonesa0–0
Cultural Leonesa0–0D
Celta de Vigo II1–1
Celta de Vigo II1–1Real Unión (A)DExtremadura 19242–2
Extremadura 19242–2D
Athletic Club II0–0
Athletic Club II0–0L
Deportivo La Coruña II0–2
Deportivo La Coruña II0–2L
Racing Ferrol2–3
Racing Ferrol2–3W
Unionistas de Salamanca4–2
Unionistas de Salamanca4–2W
PAU2–1
PAU2–1Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Barakaldo
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Real Unión
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
02/02/25Real Unión
Barakaldo
0–2Real Unión13/10/24Barakaldo
Real Unión
1–1Barakaldo14/08/24Barakaldo
Real Unión
0–1Barakaldo13/02/21Real Unión
Barakaldo
3–0Real Unión15/11/20Barakaldo
Real Unión
2–1Barakaldo08/12/19Real Unión
Barakaldo
2–1Real Unión| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Barakaldo- ●Barakaldo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Barakaldo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barakaldo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barakaldo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●88% of Barakaldo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Barakaldo's points have been earned at home.
Real Unión- ●Real Unión have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Unión have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Unión have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Real Unión failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
BarakaldoDAPonferradina0–0
Ponferradina0–0WHMirandes2–0
Mirandes2–0LAUD Ourense0–1
UD Ourense0–1DHArenas Getxo1–1
Arenas Getxo1–1DHReal Avilés3–3
Real Avilés3–3LARacing Ferrol0–1
Racing Ferrol0–1–HPontevedra01/11
Pontevedra01/11–HReal Unión07/11
Real Unión07/11–ADeportivo La Coruña II14/11
Deportivo La Coruña II14/11Real UniónWHLugo4–1
Lugo4–1DAExtremadura 19242–2
Extremadura 19242–2DAAthletic Club II0–0
Athletic Club II0–0DHUD Ourense1–1
UD Ourense1–1LADeportivo La Coruña II0–2
Deportivo La Coruña II0–2DHMirandes2–2
Mirandes2–2–HReal Avilés31/10
Real Avilés31/10–ABarakaldo07/11
Barakaldo07/11–HCultural Leonesa14/11
Cultural Leonesa14/11Top Scorers
BarakaldoC. Mattheus2 ⚽
A. Pena1 ⚽
A. Troncho1 ⚽
E. Mateos1 ⚽
Okolo1 ⚽
X. Fernandez1 ⚽
Real UniónA. Galarza5 ⚽
E. Azkune3 ⚽
J. Pola2 ⚽
L. Sangalli2 ⚽
A. Martin2 ⚽
U. Garcia2 ⚽
Cards Given
BarakaldoP. Trigueros6 🟨
B. Gomez4 🟨
A. Troncho4 🟨
J. Huidobro2 🟨
A. Zoilo2 🟨
A. Muguruza2 🟨
Real UniónE. Azkune4 🟨
A. Mateo3 🟨
A. Galarza2 🟨
A. Martin2 🟨
J. Fontan2 🟨
J. de la Mata2 🟨