Sevilla vs Malaga — La Liga
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Sevilla and Malaga meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Sevilla have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Malaga have won 12% of their 17 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Sevilla and 1.19 for Malaga. The models give Sevilla a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Malaga win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Sevilla—
Malaga5º
Position
20º
1.75
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
0%
1.63
Goals / game
0.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.63
60%
BTTS %
71%
35%
Clean sheet %
12%
60%
Over 2.5 %
59%
3.3
Avg corners
5.0
12.4
Avg shots
10.8
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
14.6
Avg fouls
11.9
42.6%
Avg possession
48.6%
Home vs Away
Sevilla
Home (4)
—
Malaga
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.25
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
13%
63%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.3
Avg corners
5.0
12.4
Avg shots
10.8
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
42.6%
Avg possession
48.6%
Goals Scored
| Sevilla | Home | Away | Malaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 83% | 76% | 89% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 38% | 33% | 35% | 56% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 0% | 25% | 18% | 22% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 17% | 24% | 11% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Sevilla | Home | Away | Malaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 63% | 67% | 88% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 33% | 59% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 38% | 25% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 38% | 33% | 12% | 11% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sevilla | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 41% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sevilla | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 6% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Sevilla (H)W
Osasuna2–0
Osasuna2–0L
Aston Villa1–3
Aston Villa1–3L
Barcelona1–3
Barcelona1–3W
Valencia1–0
Valencia1–0L
Atletico Madrid1–3
Atletico Madrid1–3W
Rayo Vallecano2–1
Rayo Vallecano2–1Malaga (A)L
Real Betis1–2
Real Betis1–2W
Alcazar3–0
Alcazar3–0D
Alaves1–1
Alaves1–1L
Getafe0–1
Getafe0–1D
Celta Vigo1–1
Celta Vigo1–1L
Real Madrid0–4
Real Madrid0–4Number of Corners
6.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.7
108 games
10.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Sevilla | Malaga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 45% | 91% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 36% | 82% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 27% | 82% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 64% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 45% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 36% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 27% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sevilla | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 55% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 18% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 18% | 64% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Sevilla
50%
4
Draws
25%
4
Malaga
25%
75%
Over 1.5
12/16
56%
Over 2.5
9/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
56%
BTTS
9/16
28/02/18Sevilla
Malaga
0–1Sevilla30/09/17Malaga
Sevilla
2–0Malaga01/05/17Sevilla
Malaga
4–2Sevilla17/12/16Malaga
Sevilla
4–1Malaga16/01/16Malaga
Sevilla
2–1Malaga21/08/15Sevilla
Malaga
0–0Sevilla23/05/15Sevilla
Malaga
2–3Sevilla18/01/15Malaga
Sevilla
2–0Malaga01/02/14Sevilla
Malaga
3–2Sevilla01/09/13Malaga
Sevilla
2–2Malaga12/05/13Sevilla
Malaga
0–0Sevilla15/12/12Malaga
Sevilla
0–2Malaga29/01/12Sevilla
Malaga
2–1Sevilla28/08/11Malaga
Sevilla
2–1Malaga06/02/11Malaga
Sevilla
0–0Malaga19/09/10Sevilla
Malaga
1–2Sevilla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +18 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sevilla- ●Sevilla have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Sevilla have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sevilla have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sevilla have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sevilla have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sevilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sevilla have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Malaga- ●Malaga have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●Malaga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Malaga have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Malaga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malaga failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Malaga failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Malaga have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Malaga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Malaga have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SevillaLAGetafe1–3
Getafe1–3WHOsasuna2–0
Osasuna2–0LAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4DALevante3–3
Levante3–3LHBarcelona1–3
Barcelona1–3WADeportivo La Coruna1–0
Deportivo La Coruna1–0–HAlaves06/11
Alaves06/11–HReal Betis22/11
Real Betis22/11–AReal Sociedad29/11
Real Sociedad29/11MalagaLAReal Betis1–2
Real Betis1–2DAAlaves1–1
Alaves1–1LHReal Sociedad2–5
Real Sociedad2–5DHEspanyol1–1
Espanyol1–1LAGetafe0–1
Getafe0–1LHVillarreal1–3
Villarreal1–3–HRacing Santander07/11
Racing Santander07/11–AOsasuna22/11
Osasuna22/11–HAthletic Club29/11
Athletic Club29/11Top Scorers
SevillaM. Sierra5 ⚽
Peque5 ⚽
I. Romero4 ⚽
J. Guridi2 ⚽
Isaac Romero2 ⚽
Felix Correia2 ⚽
MalagaChupe5 ⚽
Adrian Nino5 ⚽
E. Jauregi3 ⚽
A. Nino2 ⚽
A. Ochoa2 ⚽
Carlos Dotor1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sevilla8 🟨
Isaac Romero4 🟨
L. Agoume3 🟨
I. Romero3 🟨
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez3 🟨
Felix Correia2 🟨
MalagaDavid Larrubia3 🟨
Einar Galilea2 🟨
Carlos Dotor2 🟨
Carlos Puga2 🟨
Chupe2 🟨
R. Enriquez2 🟨