Athletic Club vs Real Madrid — La Liga
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Athletic Club and Real Madrid meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Athletic Club have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.24 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 52% of games. Real Madrid have won 84% of their 19 matches, with 2.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Athletic Club and 1.60 for Real Madrid. The models give Athletic Club a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Madrid win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Athletic Club—
Real Madrid10º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
2.25
33%
Win %
75%
1.17
Goals / game
2.38
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
68%
52%
Clean sheet %
26%
62%
Over 2.5 %
84%
5.9
Avg corners
6.3
15.6
Avg shots
16.1
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.4
Avg fouls
8.8
55.1%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Athletic Club
Home (4)
—
Real Madrid
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
57%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
30%
71%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.9
Avg corners
6.3
15.6
Avg shots
16.1
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
55.1%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Athletic Club | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 86% | 79% | 95% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 57% | 50% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 36% | 53% | 67% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 14% | 21% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Athletic Club | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 48% | 57% | 43% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 14% | 21% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 52% | 43% | 57% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 37% |
| BTTS | 38% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 58% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 68% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 84% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Athletic Club (H)W
Real Sociedad2–1
Real Sociedad2–1W
Getafe4–0
Getafe4–0D
Alaves0–0
Alaves0–0D
Elche1–1
Elche1–1W
Atletico Madrid3–0
Atletico Madrid3–0L
Sevilla1–3
Sevilla1–3Real Madrid (A)W
Racing Santander3–0
Racing Santander3–0W
Barcelona2–1
Barcelona2–1W
AS Roma4–3
AS Roma4–3LAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WElche3–2
Elche3–2L
Real Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.7
108 games
11.0
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Athletic Club | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 85% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 77% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 69% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 69% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 55% | 62% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 54% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 38% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Athletic Club | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 45% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 54% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
4
Athletic Club
11%
6
Draws
17%
25
Real Madrid
71%
77%
Over 1.5
27/35
54%
Over 2.5
19/35
23%
Over 3.5
8/35
49%
BTTS
17/35
23/05/26Athletic Club
Real Madrid
4–2Athletic Club03/12/25Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–3Real Madrid20/04/25Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1–0Athletic Club04/12/24Real Madrid
Athletic Club
2–1Real Madrid31/03/24Athletic Club
Real Madrid
2–0Athletic Club12/08/23Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–2Real Madrid04/06/23Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1–1Athletic Club22/01/23Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–2Real Madrid03/02/22Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1–0Real Madrid16/01/22Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–2Real Madrid22/12/21Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1–2Real Madrid01/12/21Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1–0Athletic Club16/05/21Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–1Real Madrid14/01/21Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1–2Athletic Club15/12/20Athletic Club
Real Madrid
3–1Athletic Club05/07/20Real Madrid
Athletic Club
0–1Real Madrid22/12/19Athletic Club
Real Madrid
0–0Athletic Club21/04/19Athletic Club
Real Madrid
3–0Athletic Club15/09/18Real Madrid
Athletic Club
1–1Real Madrid18/04/18Athletic Club
Real Madrid
1–1Athletic Club| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +18 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Athletic Club- ●Athletic Club have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Athletic Club have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Athletic Club's goals have been scored at home.
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Madrid failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Real Madrid have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Athletic ClubWHReal Sociedad2–1
Real Sociedad2–1WHGetafe4–0
Getafe4–0LALevante1–3
Levante1–3DAValencia0–0
Valencia0–0DHAlaves0–0
Alaves0–0DHElche1–1
Elche1–1–AOsasuna07/11
Osasuna07/11–HEspanyol22/11
Espanyol22/11–AMalaga29/11
Malaga29/11Real MadridWARacing Santander3–0
Racing Santander3–0WABarcelona2–1
Barcelona2–1WHSevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1WHVillarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0LAAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WAElche3–2
Elche3–2–AValencia07/11
Valencia07/11–HCelta Vigo22/11
Celta Vigo22/11–HAlaves29/11
Alaves29/11Top Scorers
Athletic ClubG. Guruzeta6 ⚽
R. Navarro6 ⚽
O. Sancet4 ⚽
Alex Berenguer3 ⚽
Iñaki Williams3 ⚽
A. Hierro2 ⚽
Real MadridKylian Mbappé11 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande4 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Cards Given
Athletic Club4 🟨
Beñat Gerenabarrena3 🟨
Y. Berchiche2 🟨
Aymeric Laporte2 🟨
G. Guruzeta2 🟨
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta2 🟨
Real MadridDean Huijsen4 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Ibrahima Konaté3 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Aurelien Tchouameni2 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨