Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia — La Liga
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Rayo Vallecano and Valencia meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 2.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Valencia have won 18% of their 17 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.24 for Valencia. The models give Rayo Vallecano a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Valencia win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Rayo Vallecano—
Valencia13º
Position
19º
1.14
PPG
0.63
29%
Win %
13%
1.57
Goals / game
0.75
2.29
Conceded / game
1.88
85%
BTTS %
53%
0%
Clean sheet %
24%
77%
Over 2.5 %
59%
5.3
Avg corners
4.2
14.8
Avg shots
10.9
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
13.1
Avg fouls
11.6
51.7%
Avg possession
45.3%
Home vs Away
Rayo Vallecano
Home (3)
—
Valencia
Away (4)
2.33
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.50
75%
BTTS %
71%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
75%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.3
Avg corners
4.2
14.8
Avg shots
10.9
4.7
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.3
51.7%
Avg possession
45.3%
Goals Scored
| Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | Valencia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 75% | 89% | 65% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 25% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 25% | 11% | 35% | 50% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | Valencia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 76% | 70% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 50% | 78% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 33% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 30% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 12% |
| BTTS | 85% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 6% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Rayo Vallecano (H)L
Elche0–3
Elche0–3W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1W
Racing Santander3–2
Racing Santander3–2D
Alaves1–1
Alaves1–1W
Villarreal2–0
Villarreal2–0D
Girona1–1
Girona1–1Valencia (A)DRacing Santander2–2
Racing Santander2–2WAlaves1–0
Alaves1–0L
Sevilla0–1
Sevilla0–1L
Deportivo La Coruna1–3
Deportivo La Coruna1–3D
Stoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1W
Derby2–1
Derby2–1Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.8
93 games
9.1
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Rayo Vallecano | Valencia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 30% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 56% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 56% | 10% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 56% | 10% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rayo Vallecano | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 60% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
5
Rayo Vallecano
23%
10
Draws
45%
7
Valencia
32%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
32%
Over 2.5
7/22
14%
Over 3.5
3/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
14/05/26Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1–1Rayo Vallecano01/12/25Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Valencia19/04/25Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Valencia07/12/24Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
0–1Rayo Vallecano12/05/24Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
0–0Rayo Vallecano19/12/23Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
0–1Valencia03/04/23Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1–1Rayo Vallecano10/09/22Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
2–1Valencia11/04/22Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Valencia27/11/21Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1–1Rayo Vallecano06/04/19Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
2–0Valencia24/11/18Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
3–0Rayo Vallecano17/01/16Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
2–2Rayo Vallecano22/08/15Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
0–0Valencia30/04/15Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1–1Valencia13/12/14Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
3–0Rayo Vallecano02/03/14Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1–0Valencia28/09/13Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1–0Rayo Vallecano12/05/13Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
0–4Valencia16/12/12Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
0–1Rayo Vallecano| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rayo Vallecano- ●Rayo Vallecano have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Rayo Vallecano's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Rayo Vallecano's points have been earned at home.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Valencia- ●Valencia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Valencia have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Valencia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Valencia have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●65% of Valencia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Valencia's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Rayo VallecanoLHElche0–3
Elche0–3DAGetafe1–1
Getafe1–1DAOsasuna1–1
Osasuna1–1WHEspanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1LAReal Madrid1–4
Real Madrid1–4WHRacing Santander3–2
Racing Santander3–2–HCelta Vigo31/10
Celta Vigo31/10–AReal Sociedad08/11
Real Sociedad08/11–HValencia22/11
Valencia22/11ValenciaLHVillarreal1–2
Villarreal1–2DHAthletic Club0–0
Athletic Club0–0DARacing Santander2–2
Racing Santander2–2LHReal Sociedad2–3
Real Sociedad2–3WAAlaves1–0
Alaves1–0LASevilla0–1
Sevilla0–1–AElche01/11
Elche01/11–HReal Madrid07/11
Real Madrid07/11–ARayo Vallecano22/11
Rayo Vallecano22/11Top Scorers
Rayo VallecanoS. Camello4 ⚽
Sergio Camello4 ⚽
Álvaro García2 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
R. Nteka1 ⚽
1 ⚽
ValenciaA. Danjuma1 ⚽
A. Dieng1 ⚽
Aaron Mayol1 ⚽
D. Raba1 ⚽
Daniel Raba Antolín1 ⚽
David Otorbi Ejededawe1 ⚽
Cards Given
Rayo VallecanoPathé Ciss5 🟨
2 🟨
Alexandre Zurawski2 🟨
Adrià Pedrosa2 🟨
Sergio Camello2 🟨
Florian Lejeune1 🟨
Valencia6 🟨
Pablo Maffeo3 🟨
Daniel Raba Antolín3 🟨
Guido Rodríguez3 🟨
Harvey Elliott2 🟨
M. Diakhaby2 🟨