Valencia vs Real Madrid — La Liga
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Estadio de Mestalla·Valencia·Spain·55,000
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Valencia and Real Madrid meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Valencia have recorded 3 wins from 17 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Real Madrid have won 82% of their 17 matches, with 2.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Valencia and 1.87 for Real Madrid. The models give Valencia a 24% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Real Madrid win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Valencia—
Real Madrid19º
Position
4º
0.63
PPG
2.25
13%
Win %
75%
0.75
Goals / game
2.38
1.88
Conceded / game
1.00
53%
BTTS %
71%
24%
Clean sheet %
24%
59%
Over 2.5 %
82%
4.2
Avg corners
6.4
10.9
Avg shots
16.1
2.9
Avg shots on target
7.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.6
Avg fouls
8.7
45.3%
Avg possession
52.3%
Home vs Away
Valencia
Home (4)
—
Real Madrid
Away (4)
0.25
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
0.50
Goals / game
1.50
2.25
Conceded / game
1.50
40%
BTTS %
63%
30%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.2
Avg corners
6.4
10.9
Avg shots
16.1
2.9
Avg shots on target
7.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
45.3%
Avg possession
52.3%
Goals Scored
| Valencia | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 50% | 86% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 20% | 29% | 76% | 89% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 10% | 0% | 53% | 67% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 50% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Valencia | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 70% | 86% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 43% | 24% | 11% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 30% | 14% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valencia | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 41% |
| BTTS | 53% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 59% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valencia | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 6% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Valencia (H)L
Villarreal1–2
Villarreal1–2D
Athletic Club0–0
Athletic Club0–0L
Real Sociedad2–3
Real Sociedad2–3L
Barcelona0–5
Barcelona0–5L
Real Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1D
Celta Vigo0–0
Celta Vigo0–0Real Madrid (A)W
AS Roma4–3
AS Roma4–3L
Atletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2W
Elche3–2
Elche3–2LReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1W
FC Schalke 043–0
FC Schalke 043–0Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.8
93 games
11.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Valencia | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 82% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 64% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 64% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 64% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 45% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 45% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 55% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
6
Valencia
18%
9
Draws
26%
19
Real Madrid
56%
94%
Over 1.5
32/34
71%
Over 2.5
24/34
47%
Over 3.5
16/34
71%
BTTS
24/34
08/02/26Real Madrid
Valencia
0–2Real Madrid01/11/25Valencia
Real Madrid
4–0Valencia05/04/25Valencia
Real Madrid
1–2Valencia03/01/25Real Madrid
Valencia
1–2Real Madrid02/03/24Real Madrid
Valencia
2–2Real Madrid11/11/23Valencia
Real Madrid
5–1Valencia21/05/23Real Madrid
Valencia
1–0Real Madrid02/02/23Valencia
Real Madrid
2–0Valencia11/01/23Valencia
Real Madrid
1–1Valencia08/01/22Valencia
Real Madrid
4–1Valencia19/09/21Real Madrid
Valencia
1–2Real Madrid14/02/21Valencia
Real Madrid
2–0Valencia08/11/20Real Madrid
Valencia
4–1Real Madrid18/06/20Valencia
Real Madrid
3–0Valencia08/01/20Real Madrid
Valencia
1–3Real Madrid15/12/19Real Madrid
Valencia
1–1Real Madrid03/04/19Real Madrid
Valencia
2–1Real Madrid01/12/18Valencia
Real Madrid
2–0Valencia27/01/18Real Madrid
Valencia
1–4Real Madrid27/08/17Valencia
Real Madrid
2–2Valencia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Valencia- ●Valencia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Valencia have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Valencia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Valencia have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●65% of Valencia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Valencia's points have been earned away.
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●74% of Real Madrid's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ValenciaLHVillarreal1–2
Villarreal1–2DHAthletic Club0–0
Athletic Club0–0DARacing Santander2–2
Racing Santander2–2LHReal Sociedad2–3
Real Sociedad2–3WAAlaves1–0
Alaves1–0LASevilla0–1
Sevilla0–1–AElche01/11
Elche01/11–HReal Madrid07/11
Real Madrid07/11–ARayo Vallecano22/11
Rayo Vallecano22/11Real MadridWHSevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1WHVillarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0LAAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WAElche3–2
Elche3–2WHRayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1LAReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1–ABarcelona25/10
Barcelona25/10–ARacing Santander01/11
Racing Santander01/11–AValencia07/11
Valencia07/11Top Scorers
ValenciaA. Danjuma1 ⚽
A. Dieng1 ⚽
Aaron Mayol1 ⚽
D. Raba1 ⚽
Daniel Raba Antolín1 ⚽
David Otorbi Ejededawe1 ⚽
Real MadridKylian Mbappé8 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande3 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Cards Given
Valencia6 🟨
Pablo Maffeo3 🟨
Daniel Raba Antolín3 🟨
Guido Rodríguez3 🟨
Harvey Elliott2 🟨
M. Diakhaby2 🟨
Real MadridIbrahima Konaté3 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Dean Huijsen3 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Vinícius2 🟨