Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga
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Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Real Sociedad have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Rayo Vallecano have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.31 goals scored and 2.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Rayo Vallecano. The models give Real Sociedad a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rayo Vallecano win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 50% | 92% | 85% | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 25% | 50% | 31% | 50% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 13% | 42% | 15% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 8% | 15% | 25% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Sociedad | Home | Away | Rayo Vallecano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 88% | 92% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 38% | 67% | 69% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 31% |
| BTTS | 70% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 78% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 56% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 56% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 56% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 56% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 56% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 83% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 67% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Real Sociedad have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Real Sociedad have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Real Sociedad's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Real Sociedad's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Rayo Vallecano's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Rayo Vallecano's points have been earned at home.
- ●Rayo Vallecano have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.