Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona — La Liga
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Atletico Madrid and Barcelona meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Atletico Madrid have recorded 11 wins from 17 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Barcelona have won 83% of their 18 matches, with 3.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Atletico Madrid and 2.28 for Barcelona. The models give Atletico Madrid a 31% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Barcelona win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Barcelona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 90% | 94% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 86% | 40% | 89% | 88% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 29% | 20% | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Madrid | Home | Away | Barcelona | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 43% | 80% | 72% | 63% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 14% | 40% | 39% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 20% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 57% | 20% | 28% | 38% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 61% |
| BTTS | 59% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 56% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 89% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 65% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 6% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 78% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 58% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 42% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 33% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 33% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 25% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 8% |
Head to Head · 43 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Atletico Madrid have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.