Barcelona vs Real Madrid — La Liga
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Camp Nou·Barcelona·Spain·55,926
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Barcelona and Real Madrid meet in the La Liga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Barcelona have recorded 15 wins from 18 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 3.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Real Madrid have won 82% of their 17 matches, with 2.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.69 for Barcelona and 1.60 for Real Madrid. The models give Barcelona a 60% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Real Madrid win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Barcelona—
Real Madrid1º
Position
4º
3.00
PPG
2.25
100%
Win %
75%
4.25
Goals / game
2.38
0.88
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
71%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
83%
Over 2.5 %
82%
6.6
Avg corners
6.4
21.3
Avg shots
16.1
8.4
Avg shots on target
7.4
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
9.8
Avg fouls
8.7
69.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Home vs Away
Barcelona
Home (4)
—
Real Madrid
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
4.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
63%
BTTS %
63%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
75%
6.6
Avg corners
6.4
21.3
Avg shots
16.1
8.4
Avg shots on target
7.4
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
69.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Goals Scored
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 90% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 89% | 88% | 90% | 76% | 89% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 63% | 70% | 53% | 67% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Barcelona | Home | Away | Real Madrid | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 63% | 80% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 25% | 50% | 24% | 11% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 38% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 72% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 61% | 41% |
| BTTS | 67% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 56% | 59% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 89% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 78% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Barcelona (H)W
Getafe3–0
Getafe3–0W
Racing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2W
Feyenoord5–1
Feyenoord5–1W
Rayo Vallecano5–2
Rayo Vallecano5–2W
Athletic Club2–0
Athletic Club2–0W
Al Ahly2–1
Al Ahly2–1Real Madrid (A)W
AS Roma4–3
AS Roma4–3L
Atletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2W
Elche3–2
Elche3–2L
Real Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1W
Espanyol2–1
Espanyol2–1W
FC Schalke 043–0
FC Schalke 043–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.8
93 games
11.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Barcelona | Real Madrid | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 58% | 82% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 42% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 64% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 64% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 64% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 45% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 45% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.6 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.1 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 17% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 8% | 55% |
Head to Head · 49 matches
26
Barcelona
53%
6
Draws
12%
17
Real Madrid
35%
92%
Over 1.5
45/49
80%
Over 2.5
39/49
49%
Over 3.5
24/49
67%
BTTS
33/49
10/05/26Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–0Real Madrid11/01/26Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–2Real Madrid26/10/25Barcelona
Real Madrid
2–1Barcelona11/05/25Real Madrid
Barcelona
4–3Real Madrid26/04/25Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–2Real Madrid12/01/25Barcelona
Real Madrid
2–5Barcelona26/10/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–4Barcelona03/08/24Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–1Real Madrid21/04/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
3–2Barcelona14/01/24Barcelona
Real Madrid
4–1Barcelona28/10/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
1–2Real Madrid29/07/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–3Barcelona29/07/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
3–0Real Madrid05/04/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
0–4Real Madrid19/03/23Real Madrid
Barcelona
2–1Real Madrid02/03/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–1Barcelona15/01/23Barcelona
Real Madrid
1–3Barcelona16/10/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
3–1Barcelona24/07/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–1Barcelona20/03/22Barcelona
Real Madrid
0–4Barcelona| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
Barcelona- ●Barcelona have won their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barcelona have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Barcelona have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Real Madrid- ●Real Madrid have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Madrid have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●74% of Real Madrid's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Real Madrid's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BarcelonaWAReal Betis5–2
Real Betis5–2WHGetafe3–0
Getafe3–0WASevilla3–1
Sevilla3–1WHRacing Santander7–2
Racing Santander7–2WALevante4–2
Levante4–2WAValencia5–0
Valencia5–0–HReal Madrid25/10
Real Madrid25/10–HAlaves31/10
Alaves31/10–AAtletico Madrid08/11
Atletico Madrid08/11Real MadridWHSevilla4–1
Sevilla4–1WHVillarreal1–0
Villarreal1–0LAAtletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2WAElche3–2
Elche3–2WHRayo Vallecano4–1
Rayo Vallecano4–1LAReal Betis0–1
Real Betis0–1–ABarcelona25/10
Barcelona25/10–ARacing Santander01/11
Racing Santander01/11–AValencia07/11
Valencia07/11Top Scorers
BarcelonaLamine Yamal11 ⚽
Raphinha10 ⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli6 ⚽
H. Abdelkarim4 ⚽
Gabriel Jesus4 ⚽
Fermin3 ⚽
Real MadridKylian Mbappé8 ⚽
K. Mbappe5 ⚽
Yan Diomande3 ⚽
C. Espi3 ⚽
Antonio Rüdiger2 ⚽
J. Bellingham2 ⚽
Cards Given
BarcelonaFermín López3 🟨
Lamine Yamal2 🟨
João Cancelo2 🟨
Daniel Olmo Carvajal2 🟨
Pau Cubarsí1 🟨
Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante1 🟨
Real MadridIbrahima Konaté3 🟨
E. Camavinga3 🟨
Dean Huijsen3 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix2 🟨
Vinícius2 🟨