Burgos vs Castellón — Segunda División
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Burgos and Castellón meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Burgos have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Castellón have won 56% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Burgos and 1.45 for Castellón. The models give Burgos a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castellón win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Burgos—
Castellón9º
Position
2º
1.70
PPG
2.30
50%
Win %
70%
1.30
Goals / game
1.80
1.00
Conceded / game
0.40
40%
BTTS %
38%
40%
Clean sheet %
50%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.5
Avg shots
14.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
15.6
Avg fouls
11.2
50.1%
Avg possession
62.2%
Home vs Away
Burgos
Home (6)
—
Castellón
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
2.50
67%
Win %
83%
1.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
40%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.5
Avg shots
14.4
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.1%
Avg possession
62.2%
Goals Scored
| Burgos | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 70% | 60% | 75% | 83% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 20% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 30% | 40% | 25% | 17% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Burgos | Home | Away | Castellón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 30% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 10% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burgos | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burgos | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Burgos (H)W
Sabadell1–0
Sabadell1–0L
Granada CF0–1
Granada CF0–1W
Eldense1–0
Eldense1–0W
AD Ceuta FC3–1
AD Ceuta FC3–1D
Real Sociedad II2–2
Real Sociedad II2–2W
Cordoba3–2
Cordoba3–2Castellón (A)W
Las Palmas3–0
Las Palmas3–0L
FC Andorra0–1
FC Andorra0–1W
Leganes2–0
Leganes2–0W
Girona2–1
Girona2–1W
Celta de Vigo II2–1
Celta de Vigo II2–1WReal Sociedad II1–0
Real Sociedad II1–0Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.3
116 games
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Burgos | Castellón | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 70% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 30% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 20% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 20% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 10% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Burgos | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 30% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Burgos
0%
1
Draws
25%
3
Castellón
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
18/04/26Burgos
Castellón
3–1Burgos10/11/25Castellón
Burgos
0–0Castellón01/03/25Burgos
Castellón
2–1Burgos01/09/24Castellón
Burgos
0–2Castellón| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Burgos- ●Burgos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●77% of Burgos's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Burgos's points have been earned at home.
- ●Burgos have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Castellón- ●Castellón have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Castellón have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Castellón have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Castellón have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Castellón's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
BurgosWHSabadell1–0
Sabadell1–0LHGranada CF0–1
Granada CF0–1LAAlmeria1–2
Almeria1–2WHEldense1–0
Eldense1–0WALas Palmas2–1
Las Palmas2–1WHAD Ceuta FC3–1
AD Ceuta FC3–1–AFC Andorra26/10
FC Andorra26/10–HCastellón01/11
Castellón01/11–HCelta de Vigo II07/11
Celta de Vigo II07/11CastellónWALas Palmas3–0
Las Palmas3–0LAFC Andorra0–1
FC Andorra0–1DHAD Ceuta FC1–1
AD Ceuta FC1–1WALeganes2–0
Leganes2–0WHTenerife5–0
Tenerife5–0WAGirona2–1
Girona2–1–HSporting Gijon25/10
Sporting Gijon25/10–ABurgos01/11
Burgos01/11–HEibar06/11
Eibar06/11Top Scorers
BurgosA. Fores2 ⚽
David Gonzalez2 ⚽
F. Nino2 ⚽
J. Llabres2 ⚽
Jon Karrikaburu2 ⚽
Álex Forés1 ⚽
CastellónIsrael Suero Fernández4 ⚽
R. Sanchez3 ⚽
Ousmane Camara3 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
Agustín Sienra2 ⚽
A. Jakobsen2 ⚽
Cards Given
BurgosAlberto Dadie4 🟨
Grego Sierra3 🟨
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña2 🟨
David Gonzalez2 🟨
José Gragera2 🟨
Oier Luengo Redondo2 🟨
Castellón3 🟨
Alberto Jiménez3 🟨
Matías Orozco2 🟨
Íñigo Córdoba2 🟨
I. Cordoba1 🟨
Francisco Castillo1 🟨