Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam — K4 League
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Geoje Citizen and Geumsan Insam meet in the K4 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Geoje Citizen have recorded 12 wins from 25 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.84 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Geumsan Insam have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Geoje Citizen and 1.53 for Geumsan Insam. The models give Geoje Citizen a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Geumsan Insam win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Geoje Citizen | Home | Away | Geumsan Insam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 91% | 71% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 73% | 36% | 50% | 58% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 45% | 21% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 9% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Geoje Citizen | Home | Away | Geumsan Insam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 55% | 64% | 75% | 58% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 55% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 45% | 36% | 25% | 42% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Geoje Citizen | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Geoje Citizen | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 70% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | +32 | 51 | |
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +23 | 45 | |
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 39 | |
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +14 | 37 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +8 | 37 | |
| 6 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | +10 | 36 | |
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 34 | |
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -5 | 30 | |
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -14 | 30 | |
| 10 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | -11 | 29 | |
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | -13 | 23 | |
| 12 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -19 | 17 | |
| 13 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -26 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Geoje Citizen have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have won 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Geoje Citizen have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Geumsan Insam have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Geumsan Insam have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.