Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. — III Liga - Group 1
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Jagiellonia II and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. meet in the III Liga - Group 1 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Jagiellonia II have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Jagiellonia II and 1.72 for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The models give Jagiellonia II a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Jagiellonia II—
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.11º
Position
13º
1.21
PPG
1.07
29%
Win %
29%
1.79
Goals / game
1.71
1.86
Conceded / game
1.93
75%
BTTS %
80%
13%
Clean sheet %
7%
75%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Jagiellonia II
Home (7)
—
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Away (6)
1.14
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
33%
2.14
Goals / game
1.67
1.86
Conceded / game
2.33
71%
BTTS %
83%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Jagiellonia II | Home | Away | Polonia Lidzbark | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 86% | 78% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 43% | 67% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 14% | 22% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Jagiellonia II | Home | Away | Polonia Lidzbark | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 86% | 89% | 93% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 43% | 78% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 43% | 22% | 27% | 11% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jagiellonia II | Polonia Lidzbark | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS | 75% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jagiellonia II | Polonia Lidzbark | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Jagiellonia II (H)L
Swit1–3
Swit1–3L
Troszyn0–1
Troszyn0–1L
ŁKS Łódź II2–3
ŁKS Łódź II2–3W
Mławianka Mława7–4
Mławianka Mława7–4D
Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–1W
Pelikan Łowicz3–0
Pelikan Łowicz3–0Polonia Lidzbark (A)LMławianka Mława2–3
Mławianka Mława2–3WLechia T. Mazowiecki2–1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–1LPelikan Łowicz0–1
Pelikan Łowicz0–1W
Wigry Suwałki3–1
Wigry Suwałki3–1L
Widzew II1–4
Widzew II1–4L
Olimpia Elbląg2–4
Olimpia Elbląg2–4Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Jagiellonia II
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Polonia Lidzbark
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
24/05/25Jagiellonia II
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
0–3Jagiellonia II02/11/24Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Jagiellonia II
4–1Polonia Lidzbark Warm.| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 31 |
| 3 | Swit | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Pelikan Łowicz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Wisła Płock II | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Warta Sieradz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Jagiellonia II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Widzew II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Jagiellonia II- ●Jagiellonia II have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Jagiellonia II have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Polonia Lidzbark- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Jagiellonia IIDAOlimpia Elbląg0–0
Olimpia Elbląg0–0LHSwit1–3
Swit1–3LHTroszyn0–1
Troszyn0–1DAZąbkovia Ząbki2–2
Ząbkovia Ząbki2–2LAWisła Płock II1–2
Wisła Płock II1–2LHŁKS Łódź II2–3
ŁKS Łódź II2–3–HPolonia Lidzbark Warm.30/10
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.30/10–AOlimpia Zambrów07/11
Olimpia Zambrów07/11–HWidzew II14/11
Widzew II14/11Polonia LidzbarkWHŁKS Łódź II3–0
ŁKS Łódź II3–0LAMławianka Mława2–3
Mławianka Mława2–3WHŁomża3–2
Łomża3–2WALechia T. Mazowiecki2–1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–1DHWeszlo1–1
Weszlo1–1LAPelikan Łowicz0–1
Pelikan Łowicz0–1–AJagiellonia II30/10
Jagiellonia II30/10–HTroszyn07/11
Troszyn07/11–AZąbkovia Ząbki14/11
Ząbkovia Ząbki14/11Top Scorers
Jagiellonia IIO. Pawelczyk5 ⚽
A. Ziarek4 ⚽
M. Konanau3 ⚽
D. Polkowski3 ⚽
Z. Zalewski3 ⚽
S. Skonieczny1 ⚽
Polonia LidzbarkJ. Stawski4 ⚽
M. Kuzimski4 ⚽
A. Balut3 ⚽
D. Bogdanski2 ⚽
D. Kozera2 ⚽
A. Matuc2 ⚽
Cards Given
Jagiellonia IIA. Duchnowski1 🟨
B. Rusilowicz1 🟨
Polonia Lidzbark1 🟨