Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz — III Liga - Group 2
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Polonia Środa and Chemik Bydgoszcz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Polonia Środa have recorded 15 wins from 25 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Chemik Bydgoszcz have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.25 for Polonia Środa and 1.58 for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The models give Polonia Środa a 60% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Chemik Bydgoszcz win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Polonia Środa—
Chemik Bydgoszcz1º
Position
14º
2.47
PPG
1.00
73%
Win %
20%
2.87
Goals / game
1.60
1.33
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
74%
32%
Clean sheet %
16%
76%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Polonia Środa
Home (7)
—
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Away (7)
2.71
PPG
1.14
86%
Win %
29%
3.14
Goals / game
1.43
1.57
Conceded / game
1.86
70%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
30%
80%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Polonia Środa | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 90% | 73% | 89% | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 72% | 80% | 67% | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 53% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 10% | 27% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Polonia Środa | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 80% | 60% | 84% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 60% | 40% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 30% | 13% | 42% | 56% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 20% | 40% | 16% | 0% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polonia Środa | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 37% |
| BTTS | 60% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polonia Środa | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 4% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Polonia Środa (H)W
Luzino5–2
Luzino5–2W
Śląsk Wrocław II3–1
Śląsk Wrocław II3–1W
Kluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0D
Elana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2W
Unia Swarzędz4–3
Unia Swarzędz4–3W
Sandecja Nowy Sącz3–2
Sandecja Nowy Sącz3–2Chemik Bydgoszcz (A)W
Noteć Czarnków4–1
Noteć Czarnków4–1L
Grom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2W
Lipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0D
Victoria Września2–2
Victoria Września2–2L
Kotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4LLuzino1–3
Luzino1–3Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Polonia Środa
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
14/08/26Polonia Środa
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1–4Polonia Środa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 | Luzino | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Elana Toruń | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Kalisz | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Chemik Bydgoszcz- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Chemik Bydgoszcz's points have been earned away.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Polonia ŚrodaWHLuzino5–2
Luzino5–2DAKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0WALech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2WHKluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0WAWda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DHElana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2–AFlota Świnoujście07/11
Flota Świnoujście07/11–HKotwica Kórnik14/11
Kotwica Kórnik14/11–HBałtyk Koszalin21/11
Bałtyk Koszalin21/11Chemik BydgoszczWANoteć Czarnków4–1
Noteć Czarnków4–1LHUnia Swarzędz1–3
Unia Swarzędz1–3LAGrom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2LHGedania Gdansk2–3
Gedania Gdansk2–3WALipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0DHStargard Szczeciński3–3
Stargard Szczeciński3–3–HElana Toruń07/11
Elana Toruń07/11–AWda Świecie14/11
Wda Świecie14/11–AKluczevia Stargard21/11
Kluczevia Stargard21/11Top Scorers
Polonia ŚrodaP. Mikita14 ⚽
J. Wilczynski9 ⚽
P. Ratajczak5 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak5 ⚽
F. Karmanski3 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski3 ⚽
Chemik BydgoszczD. Zagorski5 ⚽
P. Perlinski3 ⚽
D. Rysiewski2 ⚽
H. Jaskula2 ⚽
J. Jarosz2 ⚽
O. Grzelak2 ⚽
Cards Given
Polonia Środa2 🟨
S. Kubiak1 🟨
Chemik BydgoszczA. Karbowski1 🟨
H. Jaskula1 🟨