Noteć Czarnków vs Unia Swarzędz — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Unia Swarzędz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Unia Swarzędz have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.68 for Unia Swarzędz. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Unia Swarzędz win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Noteć Czarnków—
Unia Swarzędz9º
Position
10º
1.33
PPG
1.27
40%
Win %
33%
1.40
Goals / game
1.60
1.53
Conceded / game
1.40
41%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
53%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Noteć Czarnków
Home (7)
—
Unia Swarzędz
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.63
43%
Win %
50%
1.43
Goals / game
1.88
1.57
Conceded / game
1.63
43%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
11%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 57% | 70% | 70% | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 50% | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 43% | 30% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 70% | 70% | 55% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 43% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 29% | 10% | 20% | 27% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 30% | 30% | 45% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 30% |
| BTTS | 41% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Noteć Czarnków (H)L
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4L
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3W
Flota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0D
Polonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0W
Kluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1W
Elana Toruń3–1
Elana Toruń3–1Unia Swarzędz (A)WChemik Bydgoszcz3–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1DBałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0LPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4LKluczevia Stargard0–2
Kluczevia Stargard0–2WElana Toruń3–2
Elana Toruń3–2Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Noteć Czarnków
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Unia Swarzędz
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
14/08/26Noteć Czarnków
Unia Swarzędz
0–3Noteć Czarnków08/05/26Unia Swarzędz
Noteć Czarnków
0–1Unia Swarzędz18/10/25Noteć Czarnków
Unia Swarzędz
3–1Noteć Czarnków23/11/24Noteć Czarnków
Unia Swarzędz
2–3Noteć Czarnków03/08/24Unia Swarzędz
Noteć Czarnków
1–1Unia Swarzędz27/04/24Noteć Czarnków
Unia Swarzędz
3–2Noteć Czarnków30/09/23Unia Swarzędz
Noteć Czarnków
3–1Unia Swarzędz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Elana Toruń | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Kalisz | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Unia Swarzędz- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Unia Swarzędz's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Unia Swarzędz's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Noteć CzarnkówLHChemik Bydgoszcz1–4
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4WAVictoria Września1–0
Victoria Września1–0LHBałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3DAKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0LALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2–AStargard Szczeciński07/11
Stargard Szczeciński07/11–HLipno Stęszew14/11
Lipno Stęszew14/11–HGedania Gdansk21/11
Gedania Gdansk21/11Unia SwarzędzDHStargard Szczeciński0–0
Stargard Szczeciński0–0WAChemik Bydgoszcz3–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1DHVictoria Września0–0
Victoria Września0–0DABałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WHKotwica Kórnik7–0
Kotwica Kórnik7–0WAFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0–ALipno Stęszew07/11
Lipno Stęszew07/11–HGedania Gdansk14/11
Gedania Gdansk14/11–HGrom Nowy Staw21/11
Grom Nowy Staw21/11Top Scorers
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek3 ⚽
K. Milachowski2 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Unia SwarzędzD. Zaborniak6 ⚽
G. Gozdzik4 ⚽
J. Piotrowski3 ⚽
M. Deppe3 ⚽
B. Luczak2 ⚽
M. Matuszewski2 ⚽