Victoria Września vs Polonia Środa — III Liga - Group 2
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Victoria Września and Polonia Środa meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Victoria Września have recorded 3 wins from 17 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Polonia Środa have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Victoria Września and 2.02 for Polonia Środa. The models give Victoria Września a 23% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Polonia Środa win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Victoria Września—
Polonia Środa17º
Position
1º
0.87
PPG
2.47
13%
Win %
73%
0.80
Goals / game
2.87
1.60
Conceded / game
1.33
35%
BTTS %
60%
41%
Clean sheet %
32%
29%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Victoria Września
Home (8)
—
Polonia Środa
Away (8)
1.13
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
63%
1.38
Goals / game
2.63
1.88
Conceded / game
1.13
50%
BTTS %
53%
40%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 80% | 14% | 80% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 40% | 0% | 72% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 10% | 0% | 56% | 60% | 53% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 20% | 86% | 20% | 10% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 60% | 57% | 68% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 40% | 29% | 48% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 30% | 14% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 40% | 43% | 32% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Victoria Września | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 76% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 40% |
| BTTS | 35% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Victoria Września | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 12% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 59% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Victoria Września (H)L
Noteć Czarnków0–1
Noteć Czarnków0–1W
Grom Nowy Staw1–0
Grom Nowy Staw1–0D
Lipno Stęszew1–1
Lipno Stęszew1–1D
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2D
Kalisz3–3
Kalisz3–3W
Kotwica Kórnik1–0
Kotwica Kórnik1–0Polonia Środa (A)DKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0W
Lech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2W
Wda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DNoteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0DGrom Nowy Staw4–4
Grom Nowy Staw4–4WLipno Stęszew3–2
Lipno Stęszew3–2Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Victoria Września
0%
2
Draws
50%
2
Polonia Środa
50%
25%
Over 1.5
1/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
07/08/26Victoria Września
Polonia Środa
1–0Victoria Września25/04/26Victoria Września
Polonia Środa
0–0Victoria Września31/01/26Polonia Środa
Victoria Września
0–0Polonia Środa04/10/25Polonia Środa
Victoria Września
2–3Polonia Środa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Elana Toruń | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Unia Swarzędz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Kalisz | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Victoria Września- ●Victoria Września have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Victoria Września have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Victoria Września have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Victoria Września failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●92% of Victoria Września's goals have been scored at home.
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Victoria WrześniaDAElana Toruń0–0
Elana Toruń0–0LHNoteć Czarnków0–1
Noteć Czarnków0–1DAUnia Swarzędz0–0
Unia Swarzędz0–0WHGrom Nowy Staw1–0
Grom Nowy Staw1–0DAGedania Gdansk0–0
Gedania Gdansk0–0DHLipno Stęszew1–1
Lipno Stęszew1–1–HWda Świecie07/11
Wda Świecie07/11–AKluczevia Stargard14/11
Kluczevia Stargard14/11–ALech Poznań II21/11
Lech Poznań II21/11Polonia ŚrodaWHLuzino5–2
Luzino5–2DAKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0WALech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2WHKluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0WAWda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DHElana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2–AFlota Świnoujście07/11
Flota Świnoujście07/11–HKotwica Kórnik14/11
Kotwica Kórnik14/11–HBałtyk Koszalin21/11
Bałtyk Koszalin21/11Top Scorers
Victoria WrześniaJ. Bartkowski3 ⚽
J. Gielda2 ⚽
J. Lutostanski2 ⚽
O. Niklas2 ⚽
K. Dalek1 ⚽
K. Kanior1 ⚽
Polonia ŚrodaP. Mikita14 ⚽
J. Wilczynski9 ⚽
P. Ratajczak5 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak5 ⚽
F. Karmanski3 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski3 ⚽
Cards Given
Victoria WrześniaA. Borucki1 🟨
M. Weclawek1 🟨
Polonia Środa2 🟨
S. Kubiak1 🟨