Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin — III Liga - Group 2
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Polonia Środa and Bałtyk Koszalin meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Polonia Środa have recorded 13 wins from 23 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.26 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Bałtyk Koszalin have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Polonia Środa and 1.68 for Bałtyk Koszalin. The models give Polonia Środa a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Bałtyk Koszalin win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Polonia Środa—
Bałtyk Koszalin1º
Position
8º
2.43
PPG
1.36
71%
Win %
36%
2.71
Goals / game
1.50
1.29
Conceded / game
1.36
57%
BTTS %
67%
35%
Clean sheet %
20%
74%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Polonia Środa
Home (6)
—
Bałtyk Koszalin
Away (6)
2.67
PPG
1.83
83%
Win %
50%
2.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Polonia Środa | Home | Away | Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 88% | 73% | 87% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 75% | 67% | 47% | 38% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 52% | 50% | 53% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 13% | 27% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Polonia Środa | Home | Away | Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 75% | 60% | 80% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 63% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 38% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 25% | 40% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polonia Środa | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 7% |
| BTTS | 57% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polonia Środa | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 4% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Polonia Środa (H)W
Kluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0D
Elana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2W
Unia Swarzędz4–3
Unia Swarzędz4–3W
Sandecja Nowy Sącz3–2
Sandecja Nowy Sącz3–2W
Gedania Gdansk4–3
Gedania Gdansk4–3W
Stargard Szczeciński4–1
Stargard Szczeciński4–1Bałtyk Koszalin (A)W
Noteć Czarnków3–0
Noteć Czarnków3–0W
Grom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1L
Lipno Stęszew1–2
Lipno Stęszew1–2D
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2W
Kotwica Kórnik1–0
Kotwica Kórnik1–0D
Luzino1–1
Luzino1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Polonia Środa
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Bałtyk Koszalin
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
01/08/26Polonia Środa
Bałtyk Koszalin
0–3Polonia Środa26/03/22Bałtyk Koszalin
Polonia Środa
2–1Bałtyk Koszalin22/08/21Polonia Środa
Bałtyk Koszalin
1–1Polonia Środa13/03/21Bałtyk Koszalin
Polonia Środa
2–2Bałtyk Koszalin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Luzino | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 |  Lech Poznań II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 9 | Elana Toruń | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Kalisz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Flota Świnoujście | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 |  Victoria Września | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Bałtyk Koszalin- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Bałtyk Koszalin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Polonia ŚrodaDAKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0WALech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2WHKluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0WAWda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DHElana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2DANoteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0–HLuzino31/10
Luzino31/10–AFlota Świnoujście07/11
Flota Świnoujście07/11–HKotwica Kórnik14/11
Kotwica Kórnik14/11Bałtyk KoszalinLHElana Toruń2–3
Elana Toruń2–3WANoteć Czarnków3–0
Noteć Czarnków3–0DHUnia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1WAGrom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1WHGedania Gdansk3–1
Gedania Gdansk3–1LALipno Stęszew1–2
Lipno Stęszew1–2–AWda Świecie31/10
Wda Świecie31/10–HKluczevia Stargard07/11
Kluczevia Stargard07/11–ALech Poznań II14/11
Lech Poznań II14/11Top Scorers
Polonia ŚrodaP. Mikita11 ⚽
J. Wilczynski9 ⚽
P. Ratajczak5 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak4 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski2 ⚽
K. Szczerba2 ⚽
Bałtyk KoszalinA. Krauze5 ⚽
B. Mariusz2 ⚽
M. Palaszewski2 ⚽
M. Stepnik2 ⚽
O. Albinski2 ⚽
M. Wiewiora1 ⚽
Cards Given
Polonia ŚrodaS. Kubiak1 🟨
Bałtyk Koszalin