Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Gedania Gdansk meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Gedania Gdansk have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.57 for Gedania Gdansk. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gedania Gdansk win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 70% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 20% | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 20% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 70% | 94% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 65% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 30% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 29% |
| BTTS | 38% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 | |
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 | |
| 15 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 | |
| 18 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.