Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Lipno Stęszew meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Lipno Stęszew have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.49 for Lipno Stęszew. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lipno Stęszew win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Noteć Czarnków—
Lipno Stęszew9º
Position
16º
1.33
PPG
0.93
40%
Win %
27%
1.40
Goals / game
1.27
1.53
Conceded / game
1.93
41%
BTTS %
62%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
53%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Noteć Czarnków
Home (7)
—
Lipno Stęszew
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
25%
1.43
Goals / game
1.38
1.57
Conceded / game
1.88
43%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
8%
71%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 57% | 70% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 43% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 70% | 86% | 78% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 43% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 29% | 10% | 33% | 44% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 30% | 14% | 22% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 19% |
| BTTS | 41% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Noteć Czarnków (H)L
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4L
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3W
Flota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0D
Polonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0W
Kluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1W
Elana Toruń3–1
Elana Toruń3–1Lipno Stęszew (A)W
Grom Nowy Staw2–1
Grom Nowy Staw2–1W
Stargard Szczeciński4–3
Stargard Szczeciński4–3D
Victoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1L
Kotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4L
Luzino1–2
Luzino1–2L
Lech Poznań II0–1
Lech Poznań II0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Noteć Czarnków
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Lipno Stęszew
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
01/05/26Noteć Czarnków
Lipno Stęszew
1–0Noteć Czarnków12/10/25Lipno Stęszew
Noteć Czarnków
3–1Lipno Stęszew| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 | Luzino | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Elana Toruń | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Unia Swarzędz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 |  Kalisz | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Noteć CzarnkówLHChemik Bydgoszcz1–4
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–4WAVictoria Września1–0
Victoria Września1–0LHBałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3DAKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0LALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2–AStargard Szczeciński07/11
Stargard Szczeciński07/11–HLipno Stęszew14/11
Lipno Stęszew14/11–HGedania Gdansk21/11
Gedania Gdansk21/11Lipno StęszewWAGrom Nowy Staw2–1
Grom Nowy Staw2–1LHGedania Gdansk1–2
Gedania Gdansk1–2WHKalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0WAStargard Szczeciński4–3
Stargard Szczeciński4–3LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1DAVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1–HUnia Swarzędz07/11
Unia Swarzędz07/11–ANoteć Czarnków14/11
Noteć Czarnków14/11–HElana Toruń21/11
Elana Toruń21/11Top Scorers
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek3 ⚽
K. Milachowski2 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Lipno StęszewK. Rutowski4 ⚽
K. Kulczak3 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
S. Kaptur2 ⚽
A. Kuznik2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
Cards Given
Noteć CzarnkówLipno StęszewJ. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨