Flota Świnoujście vs Polonia Środa — III Liga - Group 2
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Flota Świnoujście and Polonia Środa meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Flota Świnoujście have recorded 5 wins from 21 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Polonia Środa have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 2.26 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Flota Świnoujście and 1.91 for Polonia Środa. The models give Flota Świnoujście a 24% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Polonia Środa win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Flota Świnoujście—
Polonia Środa14º
Position
1º
1.07
PPG
2.43
29%
Win %
71%
1.21
Goals / game
2.71
1.71
Conceded / game
1.29
52%
BTTS %
57%
10%
Clean sheet %
35%
57%
Over 2.5 %
74%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Flota Świnoujście
Home (6)
—
Polonia Środa
Away (8)
1.17
PPG
2.25
33%
Win %
63%
1.50
Goals / game
2.63
1.50
Conceded / game
1.13
50%
BTTS %
53%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 75% | 54% | 78% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 38% | 31% | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 8% | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 46% | 22% | 13% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 65% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 38% | 46% | 48% | 63% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 13% | 38% | 22% | 38% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flota Świnoujście | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 39% |
| BTTS | 52% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flota Świnoujście | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 16% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Flota Świnoujście (H)L
Unia Swarzędz0–2
Unia Swarzędz0–2D
Gedania Gdansk1–1
Gedania Gdansk1–1L
Stargard Szczeciński1–5
Stargard Szczeciński1–5W
Victoria Września5–0
Victoria Września5–0W
Kotwica Kórnik2–0
Kotwica Kórnik2–0L
Kalisz0–1
Kalisz0–1Polonia Środa (A)DKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0W
Lech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2W
Wda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0D
Noteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0D
Grom Nowy Staw4–4
Grom Nowy Staw4–4W
Lipno Stęszew3–2
Lipno Stęszew3–2Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Flota Świnoujście
14%
3
Draws
43%
3
Polonia Środa
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
01/04/26Flota Świnoujście
Polonia Środa
6–2Flota Świnoujście09/08/25Polonia Środa
Flota Świnoujście
0–0Polonia Środa27/04/25Flota Świnoujście
Polonia Środa
3–0Flota Świnoujście28/09/24Polonia Środa
Flota Świnoujście
1–1Polonia Środa30/03/24Polonia Środa
Flota Świnoujście
3–0Polonia Środa01/09/23Flota Świnoujście
Polonia Środa
1–1Flota Świnoujście06/03/21Polonia Środa
Flota Świnoujście
1–2Polonia Środa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 9 |  Elana Toruń | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Kalisz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
Flota Świnoujście- ●Flota Świnoujście have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Flota ŚwinoujścieDAKluczevia Stargard2–2
Kluczevia Stargard2–2LAWda Świecie0–1
Wda Świecie0–1LAElana Toruń0–1
Elana Toruń0–1LANoteć Czarnków0–3
Noteć Czarnków0–3LHUnia Swarzędz0–2
Unia Swarzędz0–2LAGrom Nowy Staw0–5
Grom Nowy Staw0–5–ALech Poznań II31/10
Lech Poznań II31/10–HPolonia Środa07/11
Polonia Środa07/11–ALuzino14/11
Luzino14/11Polonia ŚrodaDAKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0WALech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2WHKluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0WAWda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DHElana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2DANoteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0–HLuzino31/10
Luzino31/10–AFlota Świnoujście07/11
Flota Świnoujście07/11–HKotwica Kórnik14/11
Kotwica Kórnik14/11Top Scorers
Flota ŚwinoujścieD. Chrominski3 ⚽
S. Cybulski3 ⚽
O. Kalenik2 ⚽
H. Szulc2 ⚽
A. Grieger1 ⚽
O. Nowak1 ⚽
Polonia ŚrodaP. Mikita11 ⚽
J. Wilczynski9 ⚽
P. Ratajczak5 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak4 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski2 ⚽
K. Szczerba2 ⚽
Cards Given
Flota ŚwinoujścieO. Szkamelski2 🟨
Polonia ŚrodaS. Kubiak1 🟨