Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz — III Liga - Group 2
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Lipno Stęszew and Unia Swarzędz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Unia Swarzędz have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Lipno Stęszew and 1.83 for Unia Swarzędz. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Unia Swarzędz win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Lipno Stęszew—
Unia Swarzędz16º
Position
10º
0.93
PPG
1.27
27%
Win %
33%
1.27
Goals / game
1.60
1.93
Conceded / game
1.40
62%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
30%
67%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lipno Stęszew
Home (7)
—
Unia Swarzędz
Away (8)
0.86
PPG
1.63
29%
Win %
50%
1.14
Goals / game
1.88
2.00
Conceded / game
1.63
56%
BTTS %
67%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
78%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 78% | 75% | 70% | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 11% | 8% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 22% | 25% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 78% | 92% | 70% | 55% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 56% | 50% | 40% | 36% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 44% | 25% | 20% | 27% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 22% | 8% | 30% | 45% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lipno Stęszew | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 30% |
| BTTS | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lipno Stęszew | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Lipno Stęszew (H)L
Gedania Gdansk1–2
Gedania Gdansk1–2W
Kalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0L
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1W
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1L
Flota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3L
Polonia Środa2–3
Polonia Środa2–3Unia Swarzędz (A)WChemik Bydgoszcz3–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1DBałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0LPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4L
Kluczevia Stargard0–2
Kluczevia Stargard0–2W
Elana Toruń3–2
Elana Toruń3–2Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Lipno Stęszew
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Unia Swarzędz
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
15/07/26Lipno Stęszew
Unia Swarzędz
3–0Lipno Stęszew30/05/26Unia Swarzędz
Lipno Stęszew
4–3Unia Swarzędz15/11/25Lipno Stęszew
Unia Swarzędz
0–2Lipno Stęszew| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 7 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 | Elana Toruń | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Kalisz | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Unia Swarzędz- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Unia Swarzędz's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Unia Swarzędz's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Lipno StęszewWAGrom Nowy Staw2–1
Grom Nowy Staw2–1LHGedania Gdansk1–2
Gedania Gdansk1–2WHKalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0WAStargard Szczeciński4–3
Stargard Szczeciński4–3LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1DAVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1–HUnia Swarzędz07/11
Unia Swarzędz07/11–ANoteć Czarnków14/11
Noteć Czarnków14/11–HElana Toruń21/11
Elana Toruń21/11Unia SwarzędzDHStargard Szczeciński0–0
Stargard Szczeciński0–0WAChemik Bydgoszcz3–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1DHVictoria Września0–0
Victoria Września0–0DABałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WHKotwica Kórnik7–0
Kotwica Kórnik7–0WAFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0–ALipno Stęszew07/11
Lipno Stęszew07/11–HGedania Gdansk14/11
Gedania Gdansk14/11–HGrom Nowy Staw21/11
Grom Nowy Staw21/11Top Scorers
Lipno StęszewK. Rutowski4 ⚽
K. Kulczak3 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
S. Kaptur2 ⚽
A. Kuznik2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
Unia SwarzędzD. Zaborniak6 ⚽
G. Gozdzik4 ⚽
J. Piotrowski3 ⚽
M. Deppe3 ⚽
B. Luczak2 ⚽
M. Matuszewski2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lipno StęszewJ. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨
Unia Swarzędz