Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków — III Liga - Group 2
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Stargard Szczeciński and Noteć Czarnków meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Stargard Szczeciński have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.47 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Noteć Czarnków have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.56 for Noteć Czarnków. The models give Stargard Szczeciński a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Noteć Czarnków win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Stargard Szczeciński—
Noteć Czarnków5º
Position
7º
1.57
PPG
1.43
43%
Win %
43%
2.50
Goals / game
1.43
1.86
Conceded / game
1.36
76%
BTTS %
38%
24%
Clean sheet %
31%
76%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stargard Szczeciński
Home (8)
—
Noteć Czarnków
Away (8)
1.75
PPG
1.25
50%
Win %
38%
2.63
Goals / game
1.38
1.75
Conceded / game
1.50
80%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
30%
80%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 57% | 31% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 80% | 71% | 69% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 30% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 13% | 17% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stargard Szczeciński | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 41% | 6% |
| BTTS | 76% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stargard Szczeciński | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 69% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Stargard Szczeciński (H)W
Grom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1L
Lipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4W
Kalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0D
Victoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1L
Kotwica Kórnik2–4
Kotwica Kórnik2–4W
Luzino2–1
Luzino2–1Noteć Czarnków (A)WVictoria Września1–0
Victoria Września1–0DKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1LLuzino0–2
Luzino0–2L
Lech Poznań II1–2
Lech Poznań II1–2L
Wda Świecie1–2
Wda Świecie1–2WKalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Stargard Szczeciński
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Noteć Czarnków
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
83%
Over 3.5
5/6
100%
BTTS
6/6
17/05/26Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
1–1Noteć Czarnków02/11/25Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
3–1Stargard Szczeciński25/05/25Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
5–1Noteć Czarnków02/11/24Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
1–4Stargard Szczeciński01/06/24Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
2–4Noteć Czarnków11/11/23Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
1–4Stargard Szczeciński| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Luzino | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 9 |  Elana Toruń | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Unia Swarzędz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Kalisz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Flota Świnoujście | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
Stargard Szczeciński- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Stargard SzczecińskiWHGrom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1DAGedania Gdansk2–2
Gedania Gdansk2–2LHLipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4WHKalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0DAChemik Bydgoszcz3–3
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–3DHVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1–AUnia Swarzędz31/10
Unia Swarzędz31/10–HNoteć Czarnków07/11
Noteć Czarnków07/11–AElana Toruń14/11
Elana Toruń14/11Noteć CzarnkówWAVictoria Września1–0
Victoria Września1–0LHBałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3DAKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0LALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2DHPolonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0–HChemik Bydgoszcz31/10
Chemik Bydgoszcz31/10–AStargard Szczeciński07/11
Stargard Szczeciński07/11–HLipno Stęszew14/11
Lipno Stęszew14/11Top Scorers
Stargard SzczecińskiS. Krocz8 ⚽
W. Fadecki7 ⚽
B. Starzycki6 ⚽
D. Kroczek4 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Lis2 ⚽
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek3 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
K. Milachowski1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stargard SzczecińskiM. Liskiewicz1 🟨
Noteć Czarnków