Noteć Czarnków vs Chemik Bydgoszcz — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Chemik Bydgoszcz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Chemik Bydgoszcz have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.33 for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chemik Bydgoszcz win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Noteć Czarnków—
Chemik Bydgoszcz7º
Position
15º
1.43
PPG
0.86
43%
Win %
14%
1.43
Goals / game
1.43
1.36
Conceded / game
2.07
38%
BTTS %
72%
31%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Noteć Czarnków
Home (6)
—
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
0.83
50%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
56%
33%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 70% | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 20% | 39% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 20% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 30% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 70% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 61% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 10% | 44% | 56% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 30% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 33% |
| BTTS | 38% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 83% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Noteć Czarnków (H)L
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3W
Flota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0D
Polonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0W
Kluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1W
Elana Toruń3–1
Elana Toruń3–1L
Grom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2Chemik Bydgoszcz (A)LGrom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2W
Lipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0D
Victoria Września2–2
Victoria Września2–2L
Kotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4L
Luzino1–3
Luzino1–3D
Lech Poznań II1–1
Lech Poznań II1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Luzino | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 9 | Elana Toruń | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Unia Swarzędz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Kalisz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Chemik Bydgoszcz- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Chemik Bydgoszcz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Noteć CzarnkówWAVictoria Września1–0
Victoria Września1–0LHBałtyk Koszalin0–3
Bałtyk Koszalin0–3DAKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0LALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2DHPolonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0–HChemik Bydgoszcz31/10
Chemik Bydgoszcz31/10–AStargard Szczeciński07/11
Stargard Szczeciński07/11–HLipno Stęszew14/11
Lipno Stęszew14/11Chemik BydgoszczLHUnia Swarzędz1–3
Unia Swarzędz1–3LAGrom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2LHGedania Gdansk2–3
Gedania Gdansk2–3WALipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0DHStargard Szczeciński3–3
Stargard Szczeciński3–3DHKalisz1–1
Kalisz1–1–ANoteć Czarnków31/10
Noteć Czarnków31/10–HElana Toruń07/11
Elana Toruń07/11–AWda Świecie14/11
Wda Świecie14/11Top Scorers
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek3 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
K. Milachowski1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Chemik BydgoszczD. Zagorski5 ⚽
P. Perlinski3 ⚽
D. Rysiewski2 ⚽
H. Jaskula2 ⚽
J. Jarosz2 ⚽
O. Grzelak2 ⚽
Cards Given
Noteć CzarnkówChemik BydgoszczA. Karbowski1 🟨
H. Jaskula1 🟨