Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów — III Liga - Group 3
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Carina Gubin and Warta Gorzów meet in the III Liga - Group 3 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Carina Gubin have recorded 5 wins from 21 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Warta Gorzów have won 20% of their 20 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Carina Gubin and 1.35 for Warta Gorzów. The models give Carina Gubin a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Warta Gorzów win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Warta Gorzów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 56% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 11% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 44% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Carina Gubin | Home | Away | Warta Gorzów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 78% | 92% | 80% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 33% | 67% | 45% | 22% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 22% | 8% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 62% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Carina Gubin | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 12 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 31 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 22 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 14 | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Carina Gubin have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Carina Gubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carina Gubin have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Warta Gorzów have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warta Gorzów have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Warta Gorzów's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Warta Gorzów's goals conceded were conceded away.