Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec — III Liga - Group 3
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Stal Brzeg and Zaglebie Sosnowiec meet in the III Liga - Group 3 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Stal Brzeg have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won 45% of their 29 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Stal Brzeg and 1.10 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The models give Stal Brzeg a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Zaglebie Sosnowiec win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Stal Brzeg | Home | Away | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 90% | 71% | 83% | 94% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 60% | 57% | 41% | 50% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 14% | 24% | 31% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 10% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Stal Brzeg | Home | Away | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 100% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 43% | 38% | 44% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 43% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 0% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stal Brzeg | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS | 53% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stal Brzeg | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 31 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 22 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 15 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 14 | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Stal Brzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stal Brzeg have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Stal Brzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stal Brzeg have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Stal Brzeg's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Stal Brzeg's points have been earned at home.
- ●Stal Brzeg have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won 5 of their 9 away matches.
- ●80% of Zaglebie Sosnowiec's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Zaglebie Sosnowiec have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.