Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj — III Liga - Group 4
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Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Busko-Zdroj meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 27 February 2027. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Busko-Zdroj have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 5%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.15 for Busko-Zdroj. The models give Siarka Tarnobrzeg a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Busko-Zdroj win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Siarka Tarnobrzeg—
Busko-Zdroj9º
Position
15º
1.40
PPG
0.93
40%
Win %
27%
1.53
Goals / game
1.33
1.47
Conceded / game
2.33
57%
BTTS %
68%
35%
Clean sheet %
5%
52%
Over 2.5 %
84%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Home (7)
—
Busko-Zdroj
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
0.50
43%
Win %
13%
1.43
Goals / game
1.13
1.00
Conceded / game
2.63
50%
BTTS %
78%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 93% | 78% | 74% | 70% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 32% | 50% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 29% | 22% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 7% | 22% | 26% | 30% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Home | Away | Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 57% | 78% | 95% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 43% | 44% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 21% | 22% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 43% | 22% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Busko-Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 32% |
| BTTS | 57% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Busko-Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 68% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 84% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg (H)D
Naprzód1–1
Naprzód1–1W
Lech Poznan1–0
Lech Poznan1–0W
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0L
Korona Kielce II1–2
Korona Kielce II1–2W
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0W
Zaglebie Lubin3–2
Zaglebie Lubin3–2Busko-Zdroj (A)L
Czarni Połaniec1–2
Czarni Połaniec1–2L
KSZO 19290–5
KSZO 19290–5LNaprzód1–4
Naprzód1–4LPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1–2LKorona Kielce II1–4
Korona Kielce II1–4D
Star Starachowice1–1
Star Starachowice1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Busko-Zdroj
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
15/08/26Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Busko-Zdroj
1–4Siarka Tarnobrzeg04/07/26Busko-Zdroj
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–0Busko-Zdroj| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chełmianka Chełm | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +19 | 37 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Hetman Zamosc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 | Naprzód | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 | Czarni Połaniec | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  Wisła Kraków II | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 | Star Starachowice | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Jarosław | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sokół Kolb. | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Busko-Zdroj | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Moravia Morawica | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
Team Insights
Siarka Tarnobrzeg- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goals conceded were conceded away.
Busko-Zdroj- ●Busko-Zdroj have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Siarka TarnobrzegDHNaprzód1–1
Naprzód1–1WAMoravia Morawica3–2
Moravia Morawica3–2WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów4–0LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–4
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–4LHKorona Kielce II1–2
Korona Kielce II1–2LAStar Starachowice1–4
Star Starachowice1–4–AWisła Kraków II07/11
Wisła Kraków II07/11–HKSZO 192914/11
KSZO 192914/11–HHetman Zamosc21/11
Hetman Zamosc21/11Busko-ZdrojLHChełmianka Chełm0–3
Chełmianka Chełm0–3LACzarni Połaniec1–2
Czarni Połaniec1–2LHHetman Zamosc2–4
Hetman Zamosc2–4LAKSZO 19290–5
KSZO 19290–5WHWisła Kraków II3–0
Wisła Kraków II3–0LANaprzód1–4
Naprzód1–4–HStar Starachowice22/08
Star Starachowice22/08–HJarosław08/11
Jarosław08/11–ASokół Kolb.14/11
Sokół Kolb.14/11Top Scorers
Siarka TarnobrzegP. Peciak7 ⚽
B. Waclawek3 ⚽
K. Czapla3 ⚽
A. Maj3 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
A. Kromka2 ⚽
Busko-ZdrojB. Sowa4 ⚽
M. Pokora4 ⚽
K. Czepielik2 ⚽
K. Kaczowka2 ⚽
M. Kawecki2 ⚽
K. Czajkowski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Siarka TarnobrzegP. Czerech3 🟨
B. Waclawek1 🟨
F. Zaczek1 🟨
T. Pytlak1 🟨
1 🟨
Busko-Zdroj