Busko-Zdroj vs Chełmianka Chełm — III Liga - Group 4
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Busko-Zdroj and Chełmianka Chełm meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Busko-Zdroj have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Chełmianka Chełm have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Busko-Zdroj and 1.55 for Chełmianka Chełm. The models give Busko-Zdroj a 25% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chełmianka Chełm win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Busko-Zdroj—
Chełmianka Chełm15º
Position
1º
1.00
PPG
2.38
29%
Win %
69%
1.43
Goals / game
1.54
2.29
Conceded / game
0.46
72%
BTTS %
47%
6%
Clean sheet %
47%
83%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Busko-Zdroj
Home (6)
—
Chełmianka Chełm
Away (7)
1.67
PPG
2.14
50%
Win %
57%
1.83
Goals / game
1.43
1.83
Conceded / game
0.29
67%
BTTS %
36%
11%
Clean sheet %
55%
89%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 78% | 78% | 84% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 56% | 11% | 58% | 75% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 0% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Busko-Zdroj | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 89% | 100% | 53% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 44% | 67% | 26% | 0% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 44% | 33% | 11% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 11% | 0% | 47% | 38% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Busko-Zdroj | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 5% |
| BTTS | 72% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Busko-Zdroj | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 79% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Busko-Zdroj (H)L
Hetman Zamosc2–4
Hetman Zamosc2–4W
Wisła Kraków II3–0
Wisła Kraków II3–0W
Moravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1W
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice2–1L
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–4
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–4D
Wisłoka Dębica1–1
Wisłoka Dębica1–1Chełmianka Chełm (A)D
Czarni Połaniec0–0
Czarni Połaniec0–0DHetman Zamosc2–2
Hetman Zamosc2–2D
KSZO 19290–0
KSZO 19290–0WWisła Kraków II2–0
Wisła Kraków II2–0W
Naprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0WMoravia Morawica3–0
Moravia Morawica3–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +14 | 26 |
| 3 | Wisłoka Dębica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Czarni Połaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Naprzód | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Wisła Kraków II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Jarosław | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Sokół Kolb. | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  Korona Kielce II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 | Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Team Insights
Busko-Zdroj- ●Busko-Zdroj have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Busko-Zdroj have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●66% of Busko-Zdroj's goals conceded were conceded away.
Chełmianka Chełm- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Busko-ZdrojLACzarni Połaniec1–2
Czarni Połaniec1–2LHHetman Zamosc2–4
Hetman Zamosc2–4LAKSZO 19290–5
KSZO 19290–5WHWisła Kraków II3–0
Wisła Kraków II3–0LANaprzód1–4
Naprzód1–4WHMoravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1–HStar Starachowice22/08
Star Starachowice22/08–HChełmianka Chełm31/10
Chełmianka Chełm31/10–HJarosław08/11
Jarosław08/11Chełmianka ChełmWHKorona Kielce II2–0
Korona Kielce II2–0DACzarni Połaniec0–0
Czarni Połaniec0–0WHStar Starachowice2–1
Star Starachowice2–1DAHetman Zamosc2–2
Hetman Zamosc2–2WHPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–1
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–1DAKSZO 19290–0
KSZO 19290–0–ABusko-Zdroj31/10
Busko-Zdroj31/10–HWiślanie Jaśkowice07/11
Wiślanie Jaśkowice07/11–AJarosław14/11
Jarosław14/11Top Scorers
Busko-ZdrojB. Sowa4 ⚽
M. Pokora4 ⚽
K. Czepielik2 ⚽
K. Kaczowka2 ⚽
M. Kawecki2 ⚽
K. Czajkowski1 ⚽
Chełmianka ChełmP. Tomczyk6 ⚽
J. Kuzdra4 ⚽
K. Okoniewski3 ⚽
P. Cichocki2 ⚽
M. Banaszewski1 ⚽
R. Wojcicki1 ⚽