Moravia Morawica vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów — III Liga - Group 4
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Moravia Morawica and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Moravia Morawica have recorded 3 wins from 20 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have won 17% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Moravia Morawica and 1.56 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The models give Moravia Morawica a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Moravia Morawica | Home | Away | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 90% | 80% | 94% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 30% | 30% | 28% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 10% | 20% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Moravia Morawica | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Moravia Morawica | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 81% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +19 | 37 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 25 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 25 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 24 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 22 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 18 | |
| 12 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 16 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 14 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 13 | |
| 17 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 12 | |
| 18 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Moravia Morawica have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Moravia Morawica have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Moravia Morawica's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have lost 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's points have been earned at home.