Jarosław vs Chełmianka Chełm — III Liga - Group 4
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Jarosław and Chełmianka Chełm meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Jarosław have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 2.22 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Chełmianka Chełm have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Jarosław and 1.51 for Chełmianka Chełm. The models give Jarosław a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chełmianka Chełm win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Jarosław—
Chełmianka Chełm9º
Position
1º
1.31
PPG
2.38
38%
Win %
69%
2.23
Goals / game
1.54
1.92
Conceded / game
0.46
89%
BTTS %
47%
11%
Clean sheet %
47%
89%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Jarosław
Home (8)
—
Chełmianka Chełm
Away (7)
1.63
PPG
2.14
50%
Win %
57%
2.63
Goals / game
1.43
1.75
Conceded / game
0.29
80%
BTTS %
36%
20%
Clean sheet %
55%
80%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 84% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Jarosław | Home | Away | Chełmianka Chełm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 53% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 72% | 70% | 75% | 26% | 0% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 47% | 38% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jarosław | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 5% |
| BTTS | 89% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 83% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jarosław | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 79% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Jarosław (H)L
KSZO 19291–3
KSZO 19291–3L
Naprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3W
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2W
Korona Kielce II6–2
Korona Kielce II6–2W
Star Starachowice3–0
Star Starachowice3–0W
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0Chełmianka Chełm (A)D
Czarni Połaniec0–0
Czarni Połaniec0–0D
Hetman Zamosc2–2
Hetman Zamosc2–2DKSZO 19290–0
KSZO 19290–0W
Wisła Kraków II2–0
Wisła Kraków II2–0WNaprzód2–0
Naprzód2–0W
Moravia Morawica3–0
Moravia Morawica3–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wisłoka Dębica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Czarni Połaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 | Naprzód | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 |  Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Wisła Kraków II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jarosław | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Sokół Kolb. | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 |  Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Team Insights
Jarosław- ●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Jarosław have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
Chełmianka Chełm- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chełmianka Chełm have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
JarosławLHKSZO 19291–3
KSZO 19291–3LAWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2LHNaprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3DAMoravia Morawica2–2
Moravia Morawica2–2WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3–AHetman Zamosc25/10
Hetman Zamosc25/10–HCzarni Połaniec31/10
Czarni Połaniec31/10–ABusko-Zdroj08/11
Busko-Zdroj08/11Chełmianka ChełmWHKorona Kielce II2–0
Korona Kielce II2–0DACzarni Połaniec0–0
Czarni Połaniec0–0WHStar Starachowice2–1
Star Starachowice2–1DAHetman Zamosc2–2
Hetman Zamosc2–2WHPodlasie Biała Podlaska2–1
Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–1DAKSZO 19290–0
KSZO 19290–0–ABusko-Zdroj31/10
Busko-Zdroj31/10–HWiślanie Jaśkowice07/11
Wiślanie Jaśkowice07/11–AJarosław14/11
Jarosław14/11Top Scorers
JarosławD. Fkhakadze7 ⚽
G. Janiczak6 ⚽
S. Magdziak4 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
Chełmianka ChełmP. Tomczyk6 ⚽
J. Kuzdra4 ⚽
K. Okoniewski3 ⚽
P. Cichocki2 ⚽
M. Banaszewski1 ⚽
R. Wojcicki1 ⚽
Cards Given
Jarosław1 🟨
Chełmianka Chełm