Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · Group IV - 15

Jarosław

9º · 1.31 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 23h

–

Czarni Połaniec

4º · 1.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 3h

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Jarosław and Czarni Połaniec meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Jarosław have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 2.22 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Czarni Połaniec have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Jarosław and 1.48 for Czarni Połaniec. The models give Jarosław a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Czarni Połaniec win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Jarosław

—

Czarni Połaniec

9º

Position

4º

1.31

PPG

1.71

38%

Win %

50%

2.23

Goals / game

1.43

1.92

Conceded / game

1.29

89%

BTTS %

53%

11%

Clean sheet %

32%

89%

Over 2.5 %

42%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Jarosław

Home (8)

—

Czarni Połaniec

Away (7)

1.63

PPG

1.86

50%

Win %

57%

2.63

Goals / game

1.29

1.75

Conceded / game

1.14

80%

BTTS %

50%

20%

Clean sheet %

30%

80%

Over 2.5 %

30%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Jarosław	Home	Away	Czarni Połaniec	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	100%	100%	100%	79%	78%	80%
Over 1.5 Scored	56%	60%	50%	42%	56%	30%
Over 2.5 Scored	33%	40%	25%	16%	22%	10%
Failed To Score	0%	0%	0%	21%	22%	20%

Goals Conceded

	Jarosław	Home	Away	Czarni Połaniec	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	89%	80%	100%	68%	67%	70%
Over 1.5 Conceded	72%	70%	75%	32%	33%	30%
Over 2.5 Conceded	22%	20%	25%	16%	22%	10%
Clean Sheets	11%	20%	0%	32%	33%	30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Jarosław	Czarni Połaniec
Over 0.5	100%	95%
Over 1.5	100%	79%
Over 2.5	89%	42%
Over 3.5	67%	21%
Over 4.5	22%	16%
BTTS	89%	53%
BTTS & Win	28%	21%
BTTS & Draw	22%	16%
BTTS & Over 2.5	83%	37%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	6%	5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Jarosław	Czarni Połaniec
Win 1st Half	39%	32%
Draw 1st Half	39%	53%
Loss 1st Half	22%	16%
Scored 1st Half	67%	47%
Conceded 1st Half	44%	26%
Win 2nd Half	39%	32%
Draw 2nd Half	33%	42%
Loss 2nd Half	28%	26%
Scored 2nd Half	72%	58%
Conceded 2nd Half	56%	58%
Over 0.5 HT	78%	58%
Over 1.5 HT	50%	37%

Recent Venue Form

Jarosław (H)

KSZO 19291–3

Naprzód1–3

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2

Korona Kielce II6–2

Star Starachowice3–0

Podlasie Biała Podlaska2–0

Czarni Połaniec (A)

Hetman Zamosc0–1

Wisła Kraków II1–1

Moravia Morawica2–1

Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–0

Korona Kielce II4–3

Star Starachowice0–2

Head to Head · 1 matches

Jarosław

100%

Draws

Czarni Połaniec

100%

Over 1.5

1/1

100%

Over 2.5

1/1

100%

Over 3.5

1/1

100%

BTTS

1/1

15/07/26

Czarni Połaniec

1–4

Jarosław

III Liga - Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	13	9	4	0	+14	31
2	KSZO 1929	13	7	5	1	+14	26
3	Wisłoka Dębica	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Czarni Połaniec	14	7	3	4	+2	24
5	Naprzód	13	7	2	4	+3	23
6	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	14	6	3	5	+6	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Wisła Kraków II	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Jarosław	13	5	2	6	+4	17
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	0	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	Sokół Kolb.	13	3	7	3	0	16
13	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	-3	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	-3	14
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	-12	14
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	13	3	4	6	-7	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	-10	9
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	13	2	2	9	-14	8

Team Insights

Jarosław

●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
●Jarosław have lost their last 3 matches.
●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
●Jarosław have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●Jarosław have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●72% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.