Hetman Zamosc vs Jarosław — III Liga - Group 4
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Hetman Zamosc and Jarosław meet in the III Liga - Group 4 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Hetman Zamosc have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Jarosław have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 2.22 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 89%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Hetman Zamosc and 1.35 for Jarosław. The models give Hetman Zamosc a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Jarosław win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Hetman Zamosc—
Jarosław7º
Position
9º
1.54
PPG
1.31
38%
Win %
38%
1.92
Goals / game
2.23
1.69
Conceded / game
1.92
75%
BTTS %
89%
19%
Clean sheet %
11%
69%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hetman Zamosc
Home (7)
—
Jarosław
Away (5)
1.71
PPG
0.80
43%
Win %
20%
1.71
Goals / game
1.60
1.14
Conceded / game
2.20
63%
BTTS %
100%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 63% | 63% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Hetman Zamosc | Home | Away | Jarosław | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 63% | 72% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hetman Zamosc | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS | 75% | 89% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 83% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hetman Zamosc | Jarosław | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 93% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Hetman Zamosc (H)W
Czarni Połaniec1–0
Czarni Połaniec1–0D
Chełmianka Chełm2–2
Chełmianka Chełm2–2D
Wisła Kraków II3–3
Wisła Kraków II3–3W
Moravia Morawica2–1
Moravia Morawica2–1L
Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1
Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1W
Star Starachowice3–0
Star Starachowice3–0Jarosław (A)LWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2DMoravia Morawica2–2
Moravia Morawica2–2LWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3W
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg3–1L
Wisłoka Dębica1–3
Wisłoka Dębica1–3L
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2
Puszcza Niepołomice1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Hetman Zamosc
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Jarosław
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
18/02/25Hetman Zamosc
Jarosław
5–2Hetman Zamosc| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 |  KSZO 1929 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +14 | 26 |
| 3 | Wisłoka Dębica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Czarni Połaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Naprzód | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Wisła Kraków II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jarosław | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Sokół Kolb. | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 |  KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  Korona Kielce II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 |  Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Team Insights
Hetman Zamosc- ●Hetman Zamosc have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hetman Zamosc have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Jarosław- ●Jarosław have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Jarosław have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Jarosław failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jarosław have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Jarosław's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Jarosław's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Hetman ZamoscWABusko-Zdroj4–2
Busko-Zdroj4–2WHCzarni Połaniec1–0
Czarni Połaniec1–0DHChełmianka Chełm2–2
Chełmianka Chełm2–2WAKSZO 19292–1
KSZO 19292–1DHWisła Kraków II3–3
Wisła Kraków II3–3LANaprzód2–4
Naprzód2–4–HJarosław25/10
Jarosław25/10–ASokół Kolb.31/10
Sokół Kolb.31/10–HWisłoka Dębica08/11
Wisłoka Dębica08/11JarosławLHKSZO 19291–3
KSZO 19291–3LAWisła Kraków II1–2
Wisła Kraków II1–2LHNaprzód1–3
Naprzód1–3DAMoravia Morawica2–2
Moravia Morawica2–2WHPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5–2LAWiślanie Jaśkowice1–3
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1–3–AHetman Zamosc25/10
Hetman Zamosc25/10–HCzarni Połaniec31/10
Czarni Połaniec31/10–ABusko-Zdroj08/11
Busko-Zdroj08/11Top Scorers
Hetman ZamoscD. Skiba5 ⚽
D. Lepiarz4 ⚽
R. Serdyuk2 ⚽
J. Rodriguez2 ⚽
K. Kraska2 ⚽
K. Posielski2 ⚽
JarosławD. Fkhakadze7 ⚽
G. Janiczak6 ⚽
S. Magdziak4 ⚽
P. Mrozinski3 ⚽
B. Purcha3 ⚽
A. Prokic3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hetman ZamoscR. Serdiuk1 🟨
Jarosław1 🟨