Polessya vs Chornomorets — Premier League
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Tsentralnyi Stadion·Zhytomyr·Ukraine·5,928
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Polessya and Chornomorets meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Polessya have recorded 21 wins from 33 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.52 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Chornomorets have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Polessya and 1.00 for Chornomorets. The models give Polessya a 63% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Chornomorets win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Polessya—
Chornomorets2º
Position
9º
2.50
PPG
0.90
80%
Win %
20%
2.30
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
1.20
61%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
25%
70%
Over 2.5 %
44%
8.3
Avg corners
2.3
18.5
Avg shots
10.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.0
Avg fouls
0.0
56.8%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Polessya
Home (7)
—
Chornomorets
Away (4)
2.57
PPG
0.75
86%
Win %
25%
2.43
Goals / game
1.00
0.71
Conceded / game
1.75
56%
BTTS %
43%
44%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
43%
8.3
Avg corners
2.3
18.5
Avg shots
10.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
2.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
56.8%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Polessya | Home | Away | Chornomorets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 94% | 87% | 63% | 78% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 72% | 67% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 39% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 6% | 13% | 38% | 22% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Polessya | Home | Away | Chornomorets | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 56% | 73% | 75% | 56% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 22% | 40% | 44% | 22% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 44% | 27% | 25% | 44% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Polessya | Chornomorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 0% |
| BTTS | 61% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Polessya | Chornomorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 77% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Polessya (H)W
Novyi Rozdil2–0
Novyi Rozdil2–0W
Obolon'-Brovar3–0
Obolon'-Brovar3–0W
Dynamo Kyiv3–1
Dynamo Kyiv3–1W
Kryvbas KR1–0
Kryvbas KR1–0W
Livyi Bereh1–0
Livyi Bereh1–0W
Kudrivka2–0
Kudrivka2–0Chornomorets (A)W
Veres Rivne3–1
Veres Rivne3–1L
Zorya Luhansk1–2
Zorya Luhansk1–2L
Shakhtar Donetsk0–2
Shakhtar Donetsk0–2L
Vilkhivtsi0–1
Vilkhivtsi0–1L
LNZ Cherkasy0–2
LNZ Cherkasy0–2L
Kolos Kovalivka1–2
Kolos Kovalivka1–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
10.0
23 games
9.0
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Polessya | Chornomorets | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 25% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 25% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Polessya | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 6.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 25% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 75% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Polessya
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Chornomorets
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
86%
BTTS
6/7
02/08/26Polessya
Chornomorets
1–2Polessya06/03/25Chornomorets
Polessya
3–1Chornomorets31/08/24Polessya
Chornomorets
1–4Polessya30/03/24Chornomorets
Polessya
1–4Chornomorets16/09/23Polessya
Chornomorets
1–0Polessya10/04/21Polessya
Chornomorets
2–1Polessya11/10/20Chornomorets
Polessya
1–1Chornomorets| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Zorya Luhansk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Chornomorets | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Bukovyna | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Polessya- ●Polessya have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Polessya have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Polessya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Polessya have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Polessya have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Polessya have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Polessya have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Polessya have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polessya have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●74% of Polessya's goals have been scored at home.
Chornomorets- ●Chornomorets have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chornomorets have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chornomorets have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Chornomorets have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PolessyaWHObolon'-Brovar3–0
Obolon'-Brovar3–0WHDynamo Kyiv3–1
Dynamo Kyiv3–1DABukovyna2–2
Bukovyna2–2WHKryvbas KR1–0
Kryvbas KR1–0WHLivyi Bereh1–0
Livyi Bereh1–0WHKudrivka5–1
Kudrivka5–1–HVeres Rivne06/11
Veres Rivne06/11–ALNZ Cherkasy21/11
LNZ Cherkasy21/11–AKarpaty28/11
Karpaty28/11ChornomoretsWAVeres Rivne3–1
Veres Rivne3–1DHKarpaty0–0
Karpaty0–0LAZorya Luhansk1–2
Zorya Luhansk1–2LHFC Kharkiv1–2
FC Kharkiv1–2DHObolon'-Brovar1–1
Obolon'-Brovar1–1LAShakhtar Donetsk0–2
Shakhtar Donetsk0–2–AKudrivka07/11
Kudrivka07/11–HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi21/11
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi21/11–ADynamo Kyiv28/11
Dynamo Kyiv28/11Top Scorers
PolessyaI. Krasnopir10 ⚽
O. Filippov8 ⚽
O. Fedor5 ⚽
V. Veleten5 ⚽
M. Gayduchyk4 ⚽
Igor Krasnopir4 ⚽
ChornomoretsChristian Mba2 ⚽
V. Faraseyenko2 ⚽
K. Popov1 ⚽
Kiril·Popov1 ⚽
Vasyl Kurko1 ⚽
Andriy Khoma1 ⚽
Cards Given
PolessyaR. Babenko4 🟨
3 🟨
Giorgi Maisuradze2 🟨
B. Mykhaylichenko1 🟨
E. Sarapiy1 🟨
Borel Tomandzoto1 🟨
ChornomoretsM. Jarju2 🟨
G. Robakidze1 🟨
Jerry Yoka1 🟨
K. Popov1 🟨
C. Mba1 🟨
A. Avagimyan1 🟨