Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR — Premier League
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Stadion Ukraina·Lviv·Ukraine·28,051
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Karpaty and Kryvbas KR meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Karpaty have recorded 15 wins from 29 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Kryvbas KR have won 21% of their 24 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Karpaty and 0.91 for Kryvbas KR. The models give Karpaty a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kryvbas KR win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Karpaty—
Kryvbas KR5º
Position
15º
1.73
PPG
0.67
45%
Win %
11%
2.00
Goals / game
0.78
0.73
Conceded / game
1.67
52%
BTTS %
58%
38%
Clean sheet %
17%
55%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.3
Avg corners
4.0
10.3
Avg shots
5.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
0.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.8%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
Karpaty
Home (6)
—
Kryvbas KR
Away (4)
1.83
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
2.50
Goals / game
0.75
0.83
Conceded / game
0.75
58%
BTTS %
50%
37%
Clean sheet %
21%
68%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.3
Avg corners
4.0
10.3
Avg shots
5.5
3.3
Avg shots on target
0.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
49.8%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Kryvbas KR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 95% | 60% | 67% | 70% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 58% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 32% | 30% | 13% | 10% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 5% | 40% | 33% | 30% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Kryvbas KR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 63% | 60% | 83% | 90% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 26% | 20% | 50% | 70% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 5% | 0% | 29% | 40% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 37% | 40% | 17% | 10% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karpaty | Kryvbas KR | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karpaty | Kryvbas KR | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Karpaty (H)W
Kudrivka5–0
Kudrivka5–0W
Oleksandria2–1
Oleksandria2–1D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2D
Veres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1L
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2W
Obolon'-Brovar2–0
Obolon'-Brovar2–0Kryvbas KR (A)D
Zorya Luhansk1–1
Zorya Luhansk1–1D
Bukovyna0–0
Bukovyna0–0LShakhtar Donetsk0–3
Shakhtar Donetsk0–3L
Polessya0–1
Polessya0–1W
Olimpiya Savyntsi2–0
Olimpiya Savyntsi2–0L
Chornomorets0–1
Chornomorets0–1Number of Corners
7.0
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
10.0
23 games
13.5
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Karpaty | Kryvbas KR | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 100% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 50% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Karpaty | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.7 | 9.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Karpaty
67%
0
Draws
0%
2
Kryvbas KR
33%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
01/08/26Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
1–4Karpaty08/05/26Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
1–0Karpaty08/11/25Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
1–0Kryvbas KR14/12/24Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
2–0Karpaty11/08/24Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
3–0Kryvbas KR09/07/23Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0–1Karpaty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Zorya Luhansk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Chornomorets | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Bukovyna | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 |  Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Kudrivka | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Karpaty- ●Karpaty have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Karpaty have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Karpaty have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Karpaty have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Karpaty have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Karpaty have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●68% of Karpaty's goals have been scored at home.
Kryvbas KR- ●Kryvbas KR have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Kryvbas KR have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kryvbas KR failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kryvbas KR failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Kryvbas KR's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Kryvbas KR's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
KarpatyWHKudrivka5–0
Kudrivka5–0DAChornomorets0–0
Chornomorets0–0DHEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2LADynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1DHVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1WAKolos Kovalivka2–0
Kolos Kovalivka2–0–AFC Kharkiv07/11
FC Kharkiv07/11–HZorya Luhansk21/11
Zorya Luhansk21/11–HPolessya28/11
Polessya28/11Kryvbas KRLHDynamo Kyiv0–2
Dynamo Kyiv0–2DABukovyna0–0
Bukovyna0–0LHLNZ Cherkasy0–3
LNZ Cherkasy0–3LAPolessya0–1
Polessya0–1DHKolos Kovalivka2–2
Kolos Kovalivka2–2LAChornomorets0–1
Chornomorets0–1–AEpitsentr Dunayivtsi07/11
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi07/11–HKudrivka21/11
Kudrivka21/11–HFC Kharkiv25/11
FC Kharkiv25/11Top Scorers
KarpatyFellipe Vieira6 ⚽
Y. Kostenko4 ⚽
V. Baboglo4 ⚽
Y. Karabin4 ⚽
A. Chachua3 ⚽
D. Miroshnichenko3 ⚽
Kryvbas KRG. Herbert6 ⚽
Y. Rivas2 ⚽
J. Jones2 ⚽
J. Machado2 ⚽
V. Vilivald2 ⚽
G. Mendoza1 ⚽
Cards Given
KarpatyNazariy Rusyn3 🟨
V. Baboglo3 🟨
A. Chachua3 🟨
R. Vantukh2 🟨
Moha Moukhliss2 🟨
N. Rusyn2 🟨
Kryvbas KRYaroslav Shevchenko3 🟨
Thiago Borges3 🟨
Volodymyr Vilivald2 🟨
R. Nawi2 🟨
J. Mpanzu2 🟨
Denys Pidgurskyi2 🟨