Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk — Premier League
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Stadion Ukraina·Lviv·Ukraine·28,051
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Karpaty and Zorya Luhansk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Karpaty have recorded 13 wins from 26 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Zorya Luhansk have won 34% of their 29 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Karpaty and 1.76 for Zorya Luhansk. The models give Karpaty a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Zorya Luhansk win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Karpaty—
Zorya Luhansk5º
Position
6º
1.67
PPG
1.50
44%
Win %
40%
1.89
Goals / game
1.20
0.89
Conceded / game
1.30
54%
BTTS %
66%
35%
Clean sheet %
28%
54%
Over 2.5 %
66%
7.0
Avg corners
7.7
10.0
Avg shots
14.3
2.5
Avg shots on target
7.3
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
55.5%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
Karpaty
Home (5)
—
Zorya Luhansk
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
1.80
40%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
1.40
1.00
Conceded / game
0.80
59%
BTTS %
79%
35%
Clean sheet %
21%
65%
Over 2.5 %
71%
7.0
Avg corners
7.7
10.0
Avg shots
14.3
2.5
Avg shots on target
7.3
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
55.5%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Zorya Luhansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 94% | 67% | 83% | 73% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 53% | 44% | 52% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 29% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 6% | 33% | 17% | 27% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Karpaty | Home | Away | Zorya Luhansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 65% | 67% | 72% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 22% | 45% | 53% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 6% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 35% | 33% | 28% | 33% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS | 54% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Karpaty (H)D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2D
Veres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1L
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2W
Obolon'-Brovar2–0
Obolon'-Brovar2–0W
Bukovyna3–0
Bukovyna3–0W
LNZ Cherkasy3–0
LNZ Cherkasy3–0Zorya Luhansk (A)DShakhtar Donetsk0–0
Shakhtar Donetsk0–0W
Livyi Bereh3–1
Livyi Bereh3–1W
Kolos Kovalivka2–1
Kolos Kovalivka2–1DBukovyna1–1
Bukovyna1–1W
Yarud Mariupol'2–0
Yarud Mariupol'2–0DVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
10.1
18 games
13.7
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 100% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 100% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Karpaty | Zorya Luhansk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 7.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 67% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
2
Karpaty
9%
6
Draws
27%
14
Zorya Luhansk
64%
77%
Over 1.5
17/22
55%
Over 2.5
12/22
23%
Over 3.5
5/22
64%
BTTS
14/22
23/05/26Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–2Zorya Luhansk05/12/25Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1–0Karpaty25/05/25Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–3Zorya Luhansk02/12/24Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty30/11/19Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–0Karpaty25/08/19Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–1Zorya Luhansk10/11/18Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty12/08/18Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–1Zorya Luhansk18/02/18Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–2Zorya Luhansk17/09/17Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
0–0Karpaty27/11/16Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2–2Zorya Luhansk21/08/16Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty02/04/16Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
4–1Karpaty13/09/15Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–1Zorya Luhansk16/05/15Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1–1Karpaty02/11/14Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1–2Zorya Luhansk23/04/14Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–2Karpaty10/08/13Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
0–0Zorya Luhansk28/04/13Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2–0Zorya Luhansk06/10/12Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
2–1Karpaty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 | Zorya Luhansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Veres Rivne | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Bukovyna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 |  Chornomorets | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
Team Insights
Karpaty- ●Karpaty have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Karpaty have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
Zorya Luhansk- ●Zorya Luhansk have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Zorya Luhansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Zorya Luhansk's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Zorya Luhansk's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
KarpatyDHEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2LADynamo Kyiv0–1
Dynamo Kyiv0–1DHVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1WAKolos Kovalivka2–0
Kolos Kovalivka2–0LHShakhtar Donetsk1–2
Shakhtar Donetsk1–2DALivyi Bereh1–1
Livyi Bereh1–1–AChornomorets25/10
Chornomorets25/10–HKudrivka31/10
Kudrivka31/10–AFC Kharkiv07/11
FC Kharkiv07/11Zorya LuhanskDAShakhtar Donetsk0–0
Shakhtar Donetsk0–0WHChornomorets2–1
Chornomorets2–1WALivyi Bereh3–1
Livyi Bereh3–1LHDynamo Kyiv0–2
Dynamo Kyiv0–2DABukovyna1–1
Bukovyna1–1DAVeres Rivne1–1
Veres Rivne1–1–HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi31/10
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi31/10–HLNZ Cherkasy07/11
LNZ Cherkasy07/11–AKarpaty21/11
Karpaty21/11Top Scorers
KarpatyFellipe Vieira5 ⚽
Y. Kostenko4 ⚽
V. Baboglo4 ⚽
Y. Karabin4 ⚽
J. Sery3 ⚽
N. Rusyn3 ⚽
Zorya LuhanskP. Budkivsky6 ⚽
R. Verley4 ⚽
P. Budkivskyi4 ⚽
I. Gorbach4 ⚽
F. Zadorozhnyi3 ⚽
D. Jelavic2 ⚽
Cards Given
KarpatyNazariy Rusyn3 🟨
V. Baboglo3 🟨
A. Chachua3 🟨
R. Vantukh2 🟨
Moha Moukhliss2 🟨
N. Rusyn2 🟨
Zorya Luhansk7 🟨
B. Kushnirenko3 🟨
J. Basic3 🟨
I. Nesterenko2 🟨
Jordan2 🟨
P. Budkivskyi2 🟨